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1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
18th • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
5.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thales Paiva (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gustavo Vacilotto (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Henrique Rodrigues (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 42:58
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs VITOR VANACOR (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Caio Bal (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Raphael Marinho (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 42:58
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Lucas Furtado (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.