Marlynn, Treasure Hunter at National Championship 2026 - Brazil
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gabriel Santos (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs LUCAS Dias (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Aquino (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs victor giovannini (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs João Gabriel Neves (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.