National Championship 2026 - Brazil - Cindra, Dracai of Retribution (CC)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

XANDRE BORGES

3rd • 6-3-0

33%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

4.2

Surp

4.0

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs João Borges (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 75:25

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Gabriel Fonseca (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Renan Albino da Cunha (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Yan Pedroni (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Rafael De Melo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs VITOR MILIONI (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Átila Lima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Lucas Izumi (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Átila Lima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

33% (3/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.05
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.53
R8	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R9	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.19
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R11	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.70
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Tsutomu Matsumoto

17th • 5-2-0

57%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.0

Surp

4.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Felipe Rita (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Danrley Lucas (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 28:72

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Evandro Campos (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Furtado (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 28:72

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Murilo Lixandrao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Lucas Freitas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Mario Cioffi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.59
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.98
R10	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.20

João Gabriel Neves

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.6

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rafael Miller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Gianlucca Carapunarla (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ocimar Couto (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 76:24

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Guilherme Luersen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs VITOR VANACOR (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.24
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R8	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Matheus Alcantara

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.4

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Rafael de Oliveira Julio (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 76:24

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Roosevelt Villela (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs David Carvalho (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Marcos Rogerio Silva (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Caio Mafra (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.08
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.34
R8	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Lorenzo Schneider

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.4

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Thiago Lomba (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs João Pedro Mafra Vilasbôas Rodrigues (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Arthur Murta (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Rafael de Oliveira Julio (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 76:24

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.39

Ralph Abou Hala

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.6

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Pedro Lecey Opitz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Igor Cunha (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Thomaz Sardinha (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Gabriel Fonseca (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.62
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Saulo Marx Paiva

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.1

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Dertoni (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Amorim (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Thiago Lomba (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Átila Lima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.11
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.