Riptide, Lurker of the Deep at National Championship 2026 - Brazil
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
48th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Vinicius Borges (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Saulo Marx Paiva (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs VITOR MILIONI (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 25:75
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Raphael Barrese (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Evandro Campos (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Thomaz Sardinha (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Guilherme Brito silva (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.