National Championship 2026 - Brazil - Katsu, the Wanderer (CC) - FaB-Results

Katsu, the Wanderer

Katsu, the Wanderer

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Vinicius Borges

47th • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.7

Surp

5.3

Diff

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Amorim (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Phelipe da Hora (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 46:54

Arakni, Marionette

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Joao Gabriel Jagersbacher (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

Fai, Rising Rebellion

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Roosevelt Villela (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 67:33

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Rodrigo Mesquita (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55

Arakni, Huntsman

10:90

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Pedro Henrique Antonio (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 11:89, underdog victory

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Arthur Murta (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

5.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.32
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.33
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R9	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	10%	Win	✗	0.89	4.18
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

WEVERSON OLIVEIRA

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.0

Diff

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Heitor Martins (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Pedro Gradella (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55

Fai, Rising Rebellion

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Gabriel Fonseca (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 67:33

Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Maurício Bonham (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.58
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.44
R4	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.