Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter at National Championship 2026 - Brazil
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
11 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
14th • 5-2-0
29%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
3.9
Surp
4.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Sr Todo Poderoso Hubert (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Rodrigo Mesquita (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Caio Mafra (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
Round 8: Loss vs Yan Pedroni (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Pedro Lecey Opitz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
Round 10: Win vs Lucas Aquino (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
46th • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Roosevelt Villela (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Henrique Pereira (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs victor giovannini (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Raphael Marinho (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Arthur Murta (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Murilo Lixandrao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Rodrigo Mesquita (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
36th • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs GABRIEL LEAL SENA (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Yan Pedroni (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Caio Bal (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Bortolucci (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 13:87
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs David Carvalho (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Ivan Taranto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Felipe Ciola Marino (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
40th • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alan Teixeira (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Leonardo Tozato (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Laerte Cursino (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 13:87
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Henrique Rodrigues (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Raphael Barrese (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs victor giovannini (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
Round 10: Loss vs João Rolim (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Saulo Marx Paiva (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rodrigo Canejo (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pedro Gradella (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomaz Sardinha (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
Round 2: Loss vs Guilherme Brito silva (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matheus Siqueira Fernandes (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 52:48
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pedro Ugioni (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Átila Lima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hugo Maximo (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Raphael Barrese (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matheus Alcantara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs victor giovannini (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rafael De Melo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ricardo Preter Lengler (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Arthur Murta (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Josh Oliveira (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bruno Cebollada (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Feliz (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Guilherme Luersen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vinicius Borges (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
0%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
0.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Darcy Camargo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
0% (0/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (0.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.