Fai, Rising Rebellion
13 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
27th • 5-2-0
43%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Igor Cunha (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomaz Sardinha (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Guilherme Luersen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs João Rolim (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Pedro Henrique Antonio (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Eduardo Melo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Darcy Camargo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
32nd • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
3.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Henrique Rodrigues (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matheus Alcantara (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rafael De Melo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Vinicius Borges (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Raphael Gaspar (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Lucas Aquino (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Pedro Lecey Opitz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
49th • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gustavo Vacilotto (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs RODOLPHO ETINGER (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs XANDRE BORGES (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eduardo Melo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Pedro Lecey Opitz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
15:85
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Lucas Furtado (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Thiago Lomba (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
43rd • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pedro Augusto Mendes de Negreiros (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Win vs Ivan Taranto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs João Rolim (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Renan Albino da Cunha (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Rafael Miller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kaina Gimenez (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Laerte Cursino (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rodrigo Canejo (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Laerte Cursino (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tsutomu Matsumoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ricardo Albuquerque (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Daniel Amorim (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Diorge Brognara (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Caio Mafra (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 37:63
Round 3: Win vs Pedro Ugioni (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thiago Lomba (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Vitor Castro (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luiz Bussolli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Henrique Rodrigues (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Felipe Rita (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Joao Gabriel Jagersbacher (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tsutomu Matsumoto (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs igor pinheiro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Igor Cunha (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Henrique Pereira (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maurício Bonham (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs XANDRE BORGES (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs WEVERSON OLIVEIRA (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ralph Abou Hala (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.4
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pedro Ugioni (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mauricio Yoshioka (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pedro Lecey Opitz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Murilo Lixandrao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Leonardo Tozato (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Maurício Bonham (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ian Geraldi Cordeiro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Round 4: Loss vs Vítor Farhat Fernandes (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs João Rolim (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ricardo Preter Lengler (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Henrique De Almeida Carvalho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Raphael Rosa (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs João Gabriel Neves (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs LUCAS Dias (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.