Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
28th • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
4.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Enzo Bigodeiro (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luiz Bretas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maurício Bonham (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Vítor Silva (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Lucas Benzi Nucci (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Round 9: Win vs Felipe Ciola Marino (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ivan Taranto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.