Valda, Seismic Impact
1 players • Match results by round
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dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ocimar Couto (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Guilherme Luersen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Loss vs João Pedro Mafra Vilasbôas Rodrigues (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Guilherme Brito silva (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 91:9, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 90% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.