Vynnset, Iron Maiden
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
21st • 5-2-0
43%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
4.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bernard Eng (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Liang Hsi Ho (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 世殷 周 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chen Ze-Wei (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 82:18
Round 8: Win vs SU WEI MING (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs YUHSIANG TSAI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Pan Ying hsiu (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
28th • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yu Zhang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs CHUANG CHIEN-CHENG (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs YUHSIANG TSAI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Round 4: Win vs Adonis Liang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 8: Win vs Stop-Ting Hsu (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Yu Hsuan Hong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs 陳 子豫 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Win |
51st • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wen Yen Huang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs KAO FENG CHI (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs CHENG WANG (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Bernard Eng (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Albert Ho (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Yu Huan Lin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
37th • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andy Wang (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs KENT Lin (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Husan Bang Chang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 昀 劉 (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Alexander Jan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs MIN HSU (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs YUHSIANG TSAI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yi-Min Tsai (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ma Kang shuo (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
Round 3: Loss vs 陳 子豫 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs MIN FENG CHIU (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
Round 8: Loss vs Night S (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
0%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
0.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jens Jap (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
0% (0/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (0.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.