Arakni, Marionette

Arakni, Marionette

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

14th 6-1-0
71%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
4.3
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Wang Chung Chi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 浩二 田所 (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 67:33
Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate
!
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Huang Bo-Yang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Pan Ying hsiu (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Night S (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Warwick Wolfman (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 68:32
24th 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.3
Diff
Valda, Seismic Impact
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs kou rui yang (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 59:41
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yu Huan Lin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs CHIU CHUNG-YI (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 浩二 田所 (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 67:33
Prism, Awakener of Sol
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs OWN HSIANG YU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Yuhung Kao (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs HSU WEI-CHUNG (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
38th 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.5
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bernard Eng (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Puffin, Hightail
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cheng Chun-You (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jose Wong (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Prism, Awakener of Sol
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Chen Ze-Wei (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
Dash I/O
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Alexander Jan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Zyggy Starlight
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs CHENG WANG (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 41:59
39th 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs HO CHI-YUN (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tasi David (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lin Po Kun (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yang-Chia Chang (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Zyggy Starlight
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs CHENG WANG (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 41:59
Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 68:32
Prism, Awakener of Sol
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Cheng-Chung Tang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
dropped 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs HanYang Chang (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jose Wong (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 陳 正宇 (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 63:37
Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Warwick Wolfman (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 68:32
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Po-Chuan Lin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
dropped 1-3-1
60%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Oh Oh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Arakni, Huntsman
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Albert Ho (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Night S (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Justina Hwang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
dropped 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yongzhao Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shing Tak LI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bernard Eng (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andy Ko (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.