National Championship 2026 - Chinese Taipei - Rhinar, Reckless Rampage (CC)

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Chang Huan Jui

44th • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs 昀劉 (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Yang-Chia Chang (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Albert Ho (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Yi-Min Tsai (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59

75:25

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Cheng-Chung Tang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs HAN LONG LIU (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.33
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R8	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R9	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.58

Jose Wong

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.7

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Arthur Gugel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 吳品賢 (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs 王上熏 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Huang Hsiang En (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Albert Ho (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.24
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.47
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Yi-Min Tsai

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Hung Cheng Ting (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Chuang Yike (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 36:64

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs HanYang Chang (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Chang Huan Jui (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.49
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Bernard Eng

dropped • 0-5-0

20%

Meta

-2.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Yuhung Kao (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Huang Hsiang En (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tasi David (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs CHUANG CHIEN-CHENG (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs 陸宗彥 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Andy Wang

dropped • 1-3-0

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.7

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs HSU WEI-CHUNG (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Adonis Liang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yushen Jan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Steven Chen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

0% (0/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.71
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

CHUANG CHIEN-CHENG

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Cheng Chun-You (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 17:83

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs CHIU CHUNG-YI (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Adonis Liang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Bernard Eng (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.