Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 7-1-0
62%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
4.0
Surp
4.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chi Jung Lu (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chen Yi-Lin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Liang Hsi Ho (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
Round 4: Win vs OWN HSIANG YU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Oh Oh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 11: Loss vs Yushen Jan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
5th • 6-2-0
75%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ying Chieh Liu (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 68:32
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs wu da (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 83:17
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jose Wong (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
Round 4: Loss vs Yen-Chang Chen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs KENT Lin (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs wei shen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Arthur Gugel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs KeDuo Yang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
5th • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hoklong wong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 昀 劉 (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Huang Bo-Yang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yongzhao Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Yushen Jan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Redc Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
5th • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs CHENG WANG (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Night S (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs wei shen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yu Huan Lin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs MIN HSU (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Husan Bang Chang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Round 11: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
9th • 5-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jose Wong (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs wenchuan lin (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs wu da (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 83:17
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jens Jap (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 64:36
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ma Kang shuo (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Yongzhao Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs 王 上熏 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
30th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chiang ShenLun (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs HAN LONG LIU (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs HO CHI-YUN (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 84:16
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Hao-Han Chuang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Wang Chung Chi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Yuhung Kao (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
31st • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs wei shen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chang Huan Jui (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 昀 劉 (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shing Tak LI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Round 8: Loss vs Lin Yu-Hsi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Liang Hsi Ho (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs KENT Lin (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adonis Liang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs CHENG WANG (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yuhung Kao (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Jan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs LIN TING-WEI (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Albert Ho (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
Round 2: Loss vs Warwick Wolfman (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shing Tak LI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chen Yi-Lin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.