National Championship 2026 - Chinese Taipei - Kassai of the Golden Sand (CC)

Kassai of the Golden Sand

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Lee Ming-Han

1st • 8-2-0

80%

Meta

+2.8

Perf

4.5

Surp

6.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 陸宗彥 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Andy Ko (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs CHAI NELSON (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32

30:70

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Redc Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Yen-Chang Chen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs OWN HSIANG YU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48

30:70

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs ZongRu Wu (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs KeDuo Yang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

80% (8/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

6.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.08
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.30
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.23
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.61
R10	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.94
R11	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Win	✗	0.69	1.85
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.76
R13	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.22

Ma Kang shuo

19th • 5-2-0

57%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.3

Surp

3.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Night S (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Hung Cheng Ting (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs CHENG WANG (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 47:53

30:70

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Arthur Gugel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Husan Bang Chang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.13
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.22
R3	CC	Zyggy Starlight	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.32
R4	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.62
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.67
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Ting-xun Yang

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.8

Diff

95:5

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs yenwei Wang (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 94:6

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Chen Ming (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs HAN LONG LIU (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs 陳子豫 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs 健峰簡 (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	95%	Win	✓	0.06	0.02
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.78
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R8	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.