Dorinthea Ironsong
1 players • Match results by round
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dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Xiang Hsieh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Chiang ShenLun (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yongzhao Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (1.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.