Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 5-4-0
33%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs MIN HSU (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Win vs Hsiang Cheng Cheng (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andy Wang (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Stop-Ting Hsu (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Yongzhao Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Oh Oh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs KeDuo Yang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
Round 11: Win vs Redc Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs KeDuo Yang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
10th • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs SU WEI MING (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cheng Chun-You (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
Round 4: Win vs 王 上熏 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs wei shen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Yongzhao Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
11th • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
3.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shao Qi Zeng (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs HSU WEI-CHUNG (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Liang Hsi Ho (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs ZongRu Wu (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
Round 10: Win vs Ma Kang shuo (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
22nd • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
2.9
Surp
3.9
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs KeDuo Yang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs yenwei Wang (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 54:46
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cheng-Chung Tang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
Round 4: Win vs Wang Chung Chi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Round 8: Win vs Yang-Chia Chang (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs KENT Lin (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Yu Hsuan Hong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
48th • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Jan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yuhung Kao (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Redc Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Husan Bang Chang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs 左 承勳 (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Yang-Chia Chang (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yu Hsuan Hong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 陸 宗彥 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jens Jap (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Po-Chuan Lin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
Round 8: Loss vs Ying Chieh Liu (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 世殷 周 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
Round 2: Loss vs Andy Wang (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs CHUANG CHIEN-CHENG (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
Round 4: Loss vs CHIU CHUNG-YI (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andy Ko (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Redc Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
Round 3: Loss vs Chuang Yike (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lin Po Kun (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.