National Championship 2026 - Chinese Taipei - Marlynn, Treasure Hunter (CC)

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Chuang Yike

41st • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.7

Surp

3.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Chen Ming (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yi-Min Tsai (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Chen Yi-Lin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Cheng-Chung Tang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs wenchuan lin (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs SU WEI MING (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Huang Bo-Yang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.19
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.58
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.41
R9	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.59
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

KENT Lin

34th • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs HAN LONG LIU (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs HSU WEI-CHUNG (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Warwick Wolfman (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs MIN HSU (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

30:70

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs 王上熏 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Lin Yu-Hsi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61

30:70

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Yang-Chia Chang (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.13
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.22
R3	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-

Ying Chieh Liu

50th • 2-5-0

57%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.8

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs 王上熏 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs 浩二田所 (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs HAN LONG LIU (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Wen Yen Huang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Stop-Ting Hsu (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs SU WEI MING (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.54
R9	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.