Prism, Awakener of Sol
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 7-3-0
70%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.2
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lin Yu-Hsi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs MIN FENG CHIU (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jan Ray Teh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 左 承勳 (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Yu Hsuan Hong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs OWN HSIANG YU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Yushen Jan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs 王 上熏 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 64:36
80:20
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Yushen Jan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R13 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
15th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
4.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Warwick Wolfman (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lais Lilu (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Wang Chung Chi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 72:28
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yuhung Kao (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 18:82
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Huang Hsiang En (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs 陳 子豫 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs YuDi Chen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
29th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
4.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 陳 子豫 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Huang Bo-Yang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lin Yu-Hsi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chuang Yike (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Warwick Wolfman (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 9: Win vs Chang Huan Jui (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Shing Tak LI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 25% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
17th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yu Huan Lin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 72:28
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Po-Chuan Lin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stop-Ting Hsu (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 4: Loss vs Redc Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs YUHSIANG TSAI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs KeDuo Yang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
100%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 陳 正宇 (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 2: Loss vs Yushen Jan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs yenwei Wang (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lais Lilu (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Loss |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.