Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at National Championship 2026 - Chinese Taipei
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
4.8
Surp
2.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs LIN TING-WEI (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs wei shen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs YuDi Chen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 43:57
Round 4: Win vs Chen Ming (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Oh Oh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Redc Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs ZongRu Wu (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Oh Oh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
13th • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
3.4
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Wen Yen Huang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs MIN HSU (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Win vs Po-Chuan Lin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 健峰 簡 (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs KeDuo Yang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 28:72
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs CHIU CHUNG-YI (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Lin Yu-Hsi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
18th • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yang-Chia Chang (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs ZongRu Wu (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sun Yu Lin (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Yen-Chang Chen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs 王 上熏 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs MIN HSU (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
47th • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.9
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs OWN HSIANG YU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 28:72
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs YUHSIANG TSAI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Win vs wenchuan lin (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs ZongRu Wu (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Round 8: Win vs HAN LONG LIU (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Po-Chuan Lin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs 陸 宗彥 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
49th • 1-6-0
43%
Meta
-2.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hao-Han Chuang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs KAO FENG CHI (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 72:28
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chen Ze-Wei (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 28:72
Round 4: Loss vs Lin Yu-Hsi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs 陳 子豫 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Pan Ying hsiu (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Alexander Jan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Loss |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs CHIU CHUNG-YI (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Stop-Ting Hsu (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
Round 3: Win vs Chiang ShenLun (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs kou rui yang (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
80%
Meta
-2.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs 左 承勳 (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sun Yu Lin (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Steven Chen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chan Cian (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Hoklong wong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Forked Continuum | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs 浩二 田所 (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andy Ko (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Justina Hwang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andy Wang (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.