Dash I/O at National Championship 2026

Dash I/O

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Alexander Jan

45th • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.9

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Liang Hsi Ho (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs 陳子豫 (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Shao Qi Zeng (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs 世殷周 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs HSU WEI-CHUNG (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Huang Hsiang En (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Wang Chung Chi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.29
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.46
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	1.13

LIN TING-WEI

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.5

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs HanYang Chang (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lais Lilu (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs SU WEI MING (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs 世殷周 (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.52
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Chi Jung Lu

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Redc Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.