Valda, Seismic Impact at National Championship 2026 - Chinese Taipei
Valda, Seismic Impact
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs YUHSIANG TSAI (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jens Jap (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chen Ming (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 56:44
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs YuDi Chen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Yu Zhang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Huang Bo-Yang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.