Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
1 players • Match results by round
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dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chang Huan Jui (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Oh Oh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yang-Chia Chang (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs HSU WEI-CHUNG (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.