Pro Tour: Yokohama 2026 - Kayo (SAGE)

Kayo

66 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Alberto Hernández Martin

91st • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

5.1

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Maximilian Reichl (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Matthew Whewell (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Zack Phillips (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

30:70

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Igor Wesołowski (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Logan King (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

5.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00
R7	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.09
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.35
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.69
R11	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Robert Piper

98th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.6

Surp

4.7

Diff

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Joshua Neitzel (Fai) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Brayden Pritchard (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Samed Demir (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

30:70

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Emily Froese (Enigma) - Expected: 77:23

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

4.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R7	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.98
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.35
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R10	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Silver Age	Enigma	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.68

Tsubasa Ueda

122nd • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

5.9

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Sergiu Morar (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Jin Han Toh (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Anthony Pham (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Yong Yi Chua (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

30:70

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Pudding Tam (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

5.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.98
R8	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.56
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.52
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.86

Tuomas Kainulainen

125th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

4.7

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Cubi Nguyen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Rocko Yan (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Lucas Tenorio (Iyslander) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Zachary Johnson (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

25:75

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

25:75

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Justin Cu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

4.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.02
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.17
R8	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.15
R9	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.41
R10	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R11	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-

Tom Dagan

dropped • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.0

Surp

5.9

Diff

30:70

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Andrew Ang (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Max McLean (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Ryan Bell (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

30:70

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs 창건 곽 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Nathanael Hunt (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Win	✗	0.70	1.72
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.17
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.35
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.69
R11	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Ignacio Alvarado

64th • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.6

Surp

3.5

Diff

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Wyatt Goehring (Fai) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Robin Avenoso (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

30:70

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Valentin Varga (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Enes Findik (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.67
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.18
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.69
R11	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Matthew Harris

92nd • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

4.0

Diff

25:75

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Jun Loong Wong (Fai) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs シンヤカワグチ (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

25:75

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Cody Williams (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R7	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.78
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R10	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.86

Roman Legíň

106th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.8

Surp

4.7

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Hayashi Takashi (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

25:75

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Shane Martin (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

30:70

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Barrett Goss (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

25:75

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Matt Muus (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

4.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.94
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Win	✗	0.75	2.36
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R9	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.41
R10	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-

シンヤカワグチ

116th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.8

Surp

5.2

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Tim Dasiukevich (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Manuel Curiel (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

25:75

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Terra) - Expected: 23:77

30:70

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

5.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.02
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.18
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Win	✗	0.75	3.03
R10	Silver Age	Terra	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Peter Buddensiek

134th • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

4.4

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Stephen Henry (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Lucas Ng (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Tetsuo Matsumura (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs gabriel ebady (Dash) - Expected: 40:60

25:75

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.02
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.18
R8	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R9	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R10	Silver Age	Dash	40%	Win	✗	0.60	2.19
R11	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-

hirotsugu shimauchi

151st • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.6

Surp

3.5

Diff

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Russell Howse (Viserai) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Sam Davison (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Alice Greer-Stokes (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Jack Tang (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Takumi Watanabe (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

30:70

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Chia Yong Teck (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Viserai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.17
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Thorbjørn Lind Jensen

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.4

Surp

3.4

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs David Petry (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

85:15

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Kuan Li (Dromai) - Expected: 84:16

30:70

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Jack Bradbury (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

45:55

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Vynnset) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs 창건 곽 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.18
R8	Silver Age	Dromai	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.33
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R10	Silver Age	Vynnset	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.86

Bogdan-Andrei Oros

107th • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.9

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs 岡本一朗 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

30:70

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Kenny Tran (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Ryan Newberry (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Stephen Henry (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.01
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R9	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.86

Oscar Ojeda Gomez

150th • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.5

Diff

25:75

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs John Milner (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs ZongRu Wu (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Robin Avenoso (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Logan King (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

25:75

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Matt Muus (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.17
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.35
R9	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R10	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R11	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Clay DeAngelis

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

2.9

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs francisco guerrero (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

30:70

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Dorinthea) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Peter Bråss (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R9	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.86

Michael Jaszczur

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jacob Gladman (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

25:75

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Justin Cu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash) - Expected: 40:60

25:75

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Keegan Walls (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Robert Piper (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.22
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R8	Silver Age	Dash	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R9	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R10	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Bun Ar

dropped • 2-2-0

25%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

1.8

Surp

4.8

Diff

25:75

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Martin Holík (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Samed Demir (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

25:75

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

30:70

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (1.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

4.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Win	✗	0.75	3.03
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.78
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Alan Teixeira

dropped • 2-1-0

33%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

1.6

Surp

7.6

Diff

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Mitch Winter (Kassai) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

30:70

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Majin Bae (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

25:75

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs James Lewis (Terra) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

7.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R8	Silver Age	Terra	25%	Win	✗	0.77	5.64

Alice Greer-Stokes

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

4.7

Diff

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Blake Godenzi (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

4.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.56	2.34
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	2.37
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Anthony Bugoci

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

1.3

Surp

5.0

Diff

30:70

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs 秀太栗原 (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Marsha Ho (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (1.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

5.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.67

Benjamin Westmore

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.4

Surp

3.7

Diff

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Beslan Tatayev (Fai) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Kurtis phelps (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

65:35

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Hazeeq Hilman (Fai) - Expected: 63:37

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R7	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.96
R8	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.37	1.79

Levi Kujawa-Seda

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

1.2

Surp

4.3

Diff

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Ryan Youngquist (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

25:75

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Neil Bautista (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (1.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.68
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R8	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.67

Michael Postle

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

5.4

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Taylor Reichel (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

5.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.56	2.73
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	2.71

Nova Chan

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

1.2

Surp

4.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Diego Souza (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Lee Kimball (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

30:70

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Zachary Cauchi (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R7	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.96
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Patrick Steele

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.6

Surp

5.1

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Nathan Eastwood (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Steven Young (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Jian Wei Tee (Vynnset) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

5.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R7	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R8	Silver Age	Vynnset	45%	Win	✗	0.56	3.12

Porter Boroski

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

3.7

Diff

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Luke Murphy (Fai) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Bartłomiej Chrobak (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Win	✓	0.37	1.34
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	2.37
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Sammy Weckx

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

4.8

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Ryan Newberry (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Nick McGrath (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Gilles Molina (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33
R8	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.48	2.50

Christian Drabusenigg

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

2.7

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

30:70

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Paul Barthonnet (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.67

Eduardo Melo

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

2.7

Diff

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Samuel Cho (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

30:70

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Ross Newson (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.67

Illuvial Arnett

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

2.4

Diff

30:70

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Damon Elgie (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	2.37
R8	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jacob Hyde

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.0

Surp

2.0

Diff

30:70

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Josh Lind (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs David Brannen (Iyslander) - Expected: 55:45

25:75

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Chandler To (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R7	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Win	✓	0.45	2.01
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-

Marsha Ho

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.4

Surp

1.7

Diff

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Daniel Winning (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Anthony Bugoci (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.68
R7	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Max McLean

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Tom Dagan (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Victor Bousch (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	2.03
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Melvin Chew

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.4

Surp

2.3

Diff

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs 征隆内山 (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

30:70

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Luke Manship (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Nick McGrath (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.56	2.34
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Mikko Salmi

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs David Petry (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Hiroki Saito (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	2.03
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Nick McGrath

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

2.7

Diff

30:70

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Edric Ramos (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Melvin Chew (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.67

Paul Barthonnet

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

1.6

Surp

4.7

Diff

30:70

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jean Paul Negron (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

25:75

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Ashley Southwood (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Christian Drabusenigg (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

4.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Win	✗	0.75	4.71
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Peng Joon

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Damon Elgie (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

30:70

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Randy Davis (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	2.03
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R8	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Sam Davison

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.4

Surp

3.1

Diff

30:70

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs KeDuo Yang (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.56	3.12

Sergiu Morar

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Tsubasa Ueda (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R8	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Thiago Almeida Cunha

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Johannes Klaus (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Beslan Tatayev (Fai) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	2.03
R7	Silver Age	Fai	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Tom Malek

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

2.4

Diff

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Vynnset) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Bartłomiej Chrobak (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Logan King (Florian) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Vynnset	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	2.37
R8	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

秀太栗原

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.8

Surp

5.4

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Anthony Bugoci (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Esmond Heng (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

5.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Win	✗	0.75	5.38

Dexter Phan

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

75:25

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Henrique Gouvêa (Enigma) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Robert Szura (Dash) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	Silver Age	Enigma	75%	Loss	✓	0.77	-
R8	Silver Age	Dash	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Nathan Eastwood

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Patrick Steele (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Tyler Zeringue (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Alex Mihilli (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Omeid Vadipour

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Robin Avenoso (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Takumi Watanabe (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Kenta Miki (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Ross Newson

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Dorinthea) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Eduardo Melo (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

francisco guerrero

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Clay DeAngelis (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Connar Bodoh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Brian Gutierrez

dropped • 1-1-0

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.1

Surp

5.2

Diff

30:70

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Majin Bae (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs motohiro makigano (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (0.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

5.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Win	✗	0.70	5.16
R7	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Pádraig Ní Rúis

dropped • 1-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

3.0

Diff

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Wen Yu Thye (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Benji, the Piercing Wind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	3.00
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Andrew Blackwell

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.7

Perf

0.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

25:75

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Sam Cornelis (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Enes Findik (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (0.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Brady Hayes

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.7

Perf

0.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

25:75

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Shane Martin (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 25:75

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Terukazu Goshima (Vynnset) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (0.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R7	Silver Age	Vynnset	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Jake Landaiche

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Rocko Yan

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Ivan Taranto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Tuomas Kainulainen (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

ZongRu Wu

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

尚規石坂

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Eli Teed (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Shawn Dhaliwal

dropped • 1-0-0

Meta

+0.7

Perf

0.7

Surp

10.3

Diff

30:70

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Nicholas Wong (Oldhim) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (0.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.7 total deviation

Difficulty

10.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	30%	Win	✗	0.70	10.33

Bota Claudiu

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Colin Li

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Alex Lo (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Cristerson Chee

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs yohei ohki (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Dexter Canright

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Kurtis phelps (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Diego Souza

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Nova Chan (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Maximilian Reichl

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Alberto Hernández Martin (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Paul Crame

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs 雅貴大場 (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Ugo Henson

dropped • 0-1-0

Meta

-0.3

Perf

0.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Riptide) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (0.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Riptide	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

kouji hamada

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Brayden Pritchard (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.