Pro Tour: Yokohama 2026 - Arakni, Web of Deceit (SAGE) - FaB-Results

Arakni, Web of Deceit

Arakni, Web of Deceit

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

2.3

Diff

Bravo, Flattering Showman

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Bart Horré (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 40:60

Florian

R7

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Johnny Zen (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Ira, Crimson Haze

35:65

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Manuel Hoffmann (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R7	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Kinga Piper Balázs

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

Ira, Crimson Haze

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

Ira, Crimson Haze

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Luke Snyder (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 36:64

Kayo

R8

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Levi Kujawa-Seda (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.