Pro Tour: Yokohama 2026 - Florian (SAGE)

Florian

21 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Michael Hamilton

5th • 5-1-0

17%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

3.1

Surp

8.1

Diff

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs EITARO SHIBATA (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs 稜馬石川 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Joshua Lau (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Oh Oh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Eric Pettinelli (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Hayate Nakamura (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

8.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.18
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R8	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.01
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.77
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.97
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.56	2.16

nicolas Jamoulle

5th • 5-1-0

33%

Meta

+2.9

Perf

3.2

Surp

11.8

Diff

10:90

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jasper de Riet (Kano) - Expected: 12:88, underdog victory

75:25

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Dorinthea) - Expected: 76:24

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Michael Feng (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs 稜馬石川 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

10:90

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Kano) - Expected: 12:88, underdog victory

10:90

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Joshua Myles Lim (Kano) - Expected: 12:88

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

11.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kano	10%	Win	✗	0.88	3.09
R7	Silver Age	Dorinthea	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.46
R8	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.77
R10	Silver Age	Kano	10%	Win	✗	0.88	5.15
R11	Silver Age	Kano	10%	Loss	✗	0.12	-

Logan King

132nd • 5-1-0

67%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

2.9

Surp

7.2

Diff

25:75

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Fai) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

85:15

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Eric Gaudreault (Oldhim) - Expected: 83:17

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Tom Malek (Kayo) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Kayo) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Hiroki Saito (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Alberto Hernández Martin (Kayo) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

7.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Fai	25%	Win	✗	0.74	1.97
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.31
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.42
R9	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.60
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R11	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.95

Maximilian Klein

14th • 4-2-0

33%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

6.4

Diff

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Bryce Stroyek (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs May Hayden (Vynnset) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Valentin Varga (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

85:15

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Wesley Dong (Oldhim) - Expected: 83:17

25:75

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Jun Loong Wong (Fai) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

60:40

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Eugene C (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

6.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.18
R7	Silver Age	Vynnset	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.57
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.39
R10	Silver Age	Fai	25%	Win	✗	0.74	3.28
R11	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Michael Feng

57th • 4-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.4

Surp

3.5

Diff

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs German Glukhov (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Eric Pettinelli (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

85:15

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Randy Davis (Oldhim) - Expected: 83:17

85:15

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Victor Mercado (Oldhim) - Expected: 83:17

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.18
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.38
R8	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.44
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.48

Nathanael Hunt

78th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.7

Surp

2.9

Diff

85:15

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Oldhim) - Expected: 83:17

85:15

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Oldhim) - Expected: 83:17

25:75

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Matthew Angove (Dromai) - Expected: 27:73

85:15

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Alexander Vore (Oldhim) - Expected: 83:17

45:55

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Tom Dagan (Kayo) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.26
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.31
R8	Silver Age	Dromai	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.39
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R11	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.95

Anthony Dang

126th • 4-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

1.9

Surp

2.8

Diff

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Yutaro Yamada (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

85:15

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Jack Tang (Oldhim) - Expected: 83:17

85:15

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Oldhim) - Expected: 83:17

45:55

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs masaru okuda (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

10:90

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Kano) - Expected: 12:88

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.18
R7	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.89
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.35
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.39
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R11	Silver Age	Kano	10%	Loss	✗	0.12	-

Barrett Goss

140th • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.3

Surp

4.3

Diff

25:75

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Angove (Dromai) - Expected: 27:73

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Remi Grasset (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Sergiu Morar (Kayo) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Roman Legíň (Kayo) - Expected: 48:52

10:90

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Kano) - Expected: 12:88

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Kayo) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Dromai	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R7	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.89
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.42
R9	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R10	Silver Age	Kano	10%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R11	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.95

Zachary Johnson

152nd • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.7

Diff

85:15

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Kenny Tran (Oldhim) - Expected: 83:17

10:90

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Kano) - Expected: 12:88

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Liam Bennett (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Tuomas Kainulainen (Kayo) - Expected: 48:52

85:15

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Oldhim) - Expected: 83:17

45:55

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Yudai Shimizu (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.26
R7	Silver Age	Kano	10%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R9	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.44
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Martin KRAWIES

dropped • 2-1-0

33%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.2

Surp

3.3

Diff

85:15

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Luke Manship (Oldhim) - Expected: 83:17

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Teddy Tai (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.53
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.56	2.75
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Ismael Boulbaz

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.3

Surp

2.8

Diff

25:75

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Iyslander) - Expected: 24:76

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Nicolas Heiden (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.56	2.75
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Justin Gottlieb

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.7

Surp

4.2

Diff

25:75

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Rayland Luiz Duarte (Enigma) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs takahiro nishimura (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Cubi Nguyen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Enigma	25%	Win	✗	0.77	4.23
R7	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Maurice Hostettler

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Joel Guzman (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

25:75

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Nino Chimenti (Fai) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.51	2.06
R7	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R8	Silver Age	Fai	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

Austin Kim

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Rob Catton (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

10:90

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Joshua Myles Lim (Kano) - Expected: 12:88

85:15

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Oldhim) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R7	Silver Age	Kano	10%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Loss	✓	0.83	-

Gilles Molina

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 49:51

25:75

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Lucas Tenorio (Iyslander) - Expected: 24:76

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Kayo) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	Silver Age	Iyslander	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Johnny Zen

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs James Lewis (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Alexej Vollmer (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

25:75

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs David Brannen (Iyslander) - Expected: 24:76

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Iyslander	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-

Matthew Whewell

dropped • 1-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

3.1

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Evanking Chiu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Alberto Hernández Martin (Kayo) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.51	3.09
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Pauli Viimaranta

dropped • 1-1-0

Meta

+0.1

Perf

1.0

Surp

3.6

Diff

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Taylor Reichel (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Mercy Bickell (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (0.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.57	3.65
R7	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Daniel Sternesky

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Manuel Hoffmann (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Hayashi Takashi

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Roman Legíň (Kayo) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Stephen Henry (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Matteo Blasi

dropped • 0-1-0

Meta

-0.1

Perf

0.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

10:90

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Sebastian Spicher (Kano) - Expected: 12:88

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (0.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kano	10%	Loss	✗	0.12	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.