Pro Tour: Yokohama 2026 - Enigma (SAGE)

Enigma

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Ralph Schlauri

53rd • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.5

Surp

4.7

Diff

20:80

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Liam Bennett (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash) - Expected: 65:35

20:80

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs 稜馬石川 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 21:79

10:90

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Matthew Angove (Dromai) - Expected: 11:89

R10

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Matthew Clark (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

55:45

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Lucas RUZAFA (Dorinthea) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	20%	Win	✗	0.79	2.27
R7	Silver Age	Dash	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.73
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R9	Silver Age	Dromai	10%	Loss	✗	0.11	-
R10	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Silver Age	Dorinthea	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Emily Froese

88th • 2-4-0

33%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.0

Surp

2.1

Diff

20:80

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Dagan White (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 21:79

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Dorinthea) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Lucas Dutailly (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

20:80

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 21:79

25:75

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Robert Piper (Kayo) - Expected: 23:77

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R7	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.98
R8	Silver Age	Dorinthea	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.15
R9	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R11	Silver Age	Kayo	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-

Henrique Gouvêa

dropped • 2-1-0

Meta

+1.1

Perf

1.6

Surp

8.2

Diff

20:80

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 21:79

25:75

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Dexter Phan (Kayo) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Briar) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (0.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

8.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	25%	Win	✗	0.77	5.00
R8	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Win	✗	0.57	3.24

Elaine Cao

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Steven Young (Kano) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kano	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Rayland Luiz Duarte

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

75:25

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Justin Gottlieb (Florian) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Florian	75%	Loss	✓	0.77	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.