Terra at Pro Tour: Yokohama 2026

Terra

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Yu fan Liao

17th • 5-1-0

83%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

2.4

Surp

5.5

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Ilias Karamanis (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs haruka sonoda (Oldhim) - Expected: 62:38

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Luke Gilmore (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

35:65

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Kano) - Expected: 33:67

75:25

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs シンヤカワグチ (Kayo) - Expected: 77:23

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

5.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.95
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.79
R8	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	Silver Age	Kano	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R10	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.63
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.74

Matthew Clark

100th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.6

Surp

3.0

Diff

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Josue Murillo Leon (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Guillermo Vergara Vazquez (Kano) - Expected: 33:67

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Samuel Cho (Briar) - Expected: 61:39

65:35

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Oldhim) - Expected: 62:38

R10

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Laksana Eka S.P. (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00
R7	Silver Age	Kano	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R8	Silver Age	Briar	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.94
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	65%	Win	✓	0.38	1.02
R10	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

James Lewis

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

2.0

Diff

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Johnny Zen (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Warre Sevens (Kano) - Expected: 33:67

75:25

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Alan Teixeira (Kayo) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R7	Silver Age	Kano	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	75%	Loss	✓	0.77	-

lucas gomes pacheco

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Ben Thomas (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Khoi Dinh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 52:48

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Alexis VALENTIN (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.