Pro Tour: Yokohama 2026 - Vynnset (SAGE)

Vynnset

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Ben Thomas

85th • 5-1-0

67%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.2

Surp

6.9

Diff

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs lucas gomes pacheco (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Nino Chimenti (Fai) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Tyler Kearney (Oldhim) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

65:35

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Iyslander) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

60:40

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Tomasz Żelazko (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

6.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00
R7	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.40
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.84
R9	Silver Age	Iyslander	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.28
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.41

Luke Gilmore

36th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.0

Surp

5.3

Diff

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Ben Weinfeld (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs masaru okuda (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 59:41

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Leon Schmidtke (Kano) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Ben Dodd (Fai) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.77
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.90
R8	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.41
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R11	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Win	✗	0.57	2.20

Aidan Barsony

43rd • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.6

Surp

4.8

Diff

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Tom Malek (Kayo) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Tetsuo Matsumura (Kano) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 59:41

20:80

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 19:81

55:45

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Kayo) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Edison Yue (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

4.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.85
R7	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.10
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R9	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R10	Silver Age	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.41
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.41

May Hayden

47th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.7

Surp

4.0

Diff

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Kai Yang Yuen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Florian) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Edison Yue (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 59:41

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

60:40

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Raphael Rosa (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Kano) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.77
R7	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.94
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.03
R9	Silver Age	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.28
R11	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Jian Wei Tee

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.4

Surp

3.3

Diff

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Natthaphon Kasemphonchotinan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Michael McDowell (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Patrick Steele (Kayo) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.54
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.80
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Terukazu Goshima

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.5

Surp

2.0

Diff

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Brady Hayes (Kayo) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Briar) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.98
R8	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Luke E

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

20:80

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Kelvin Chen (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 19:81

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Samuel Coffey (Oldhim) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Masaru Yoshizawa

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

0.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

70:30

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Remi Grasset (Dash) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (0.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Dash	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.