Iyslander at Pro Tour: Yokohama 2026

Iyslander

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Chanon Puttaree

5th • 6-0-0

100%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

5.3

Diff

85:15

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Ismael Boulbaz (Florian) - Expected: 84:16

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Hiroki Saito (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Joshua Rath (Briar) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Oldhim) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Tommaso Viscido (Oldhim) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Madeline Southwood (Oldhim) - Expected: 66:34

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

5.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Florian	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.25
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.20
R8	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.86
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.90
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	65%	Win	✓	0.34	1.00
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	65%	Win	✓	0.34	1.10

Damien Riggins

11th • 5-1-0

100%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

4.7

Diff

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Oldhim) - Expected: 66:34

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Cody Williams (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Eugene C (Dash) - Expected: 64:36

R10

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

65:35

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Lucas Molho (Briar) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

4.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.60
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.93
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Win	✓	0.42	1.06
R9	Silver Age	Dash	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.96
R10	Silver Age	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.36	1.18

Andrew Cook

29th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.0

Surp

5.5

Diff

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Austin Somers (Dromai) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Kazuki Itabashi (Briar) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Eric Pettinelli (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

35:65

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Ben Thomas (Vynnset) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

65:35

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Oldhim) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Bryce Miller-Booker (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Dromai	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.62
R7	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.75
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R9	Silver Age	Vynnset	35%	Win	✗	0.64	2.23
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.89

Thomas Battaglia

65th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

4.1

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Ernesto Manzur (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Connar Bodoh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Güntekin Koc (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Lancelot Errico (Kano) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.03
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.37
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.72
R11	Silver Age	Kano	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Léo Baty

130th • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs masaru okuda (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Ivan Taranto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Andrew Singleton (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

65:35

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Jack Tang (Oldhim) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.20
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.37
R9	Silver Age	Dash	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

William Bradshaw

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.2

Surp

3.3

Diff

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Nicholas Tan (Nickay) (Briar) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs yohei ohki (Kano) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Bart Horré (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.36	1.29
R7	Silver Age	Kano	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R8	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.97

David Brannen

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.7

Diff

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Ashley Southwood (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Hyde (Kayo) - Expected: 45:55

85:15

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Johnny Zen (Florian) - Expected: 84:16

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R8	Silver Age	Florian	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.66

Lucas Tenorio

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.6

Diff

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jack Bradbury (Oldhim) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

85:15

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Gilles Molina (Florian) - Expected: 84:16

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Tuomas Kainulainen (Kayo) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R7	Silver Age	Florian	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.58
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.