Oldhim at Pro Tour: Yokohama 2026

Oldhim

55 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Sam Sutherland

13th • 6-0-0

100%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

6.2

Diff

80:20

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Enes Findik (Briar) - Expected: 82:18

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Shuto Ushiro (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Igor Wesołowski (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Michael Metallo (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

6.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Briar	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.28
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.70
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.80
R9	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.58
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	1.00
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83

Matthew Dilks

26th • 6-0-0

83%

Meta

+2.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

7.2

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Kelvin Ng (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Christian Drabusenigg (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Joel Gibbons (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38

65:35

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Valentin Varga (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

45:55

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Andrew Cook (Iyslander) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Ryosuke Urase (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

7.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.61
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.93
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.90
R10	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.96
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83

Zachary Cauchi

46th • 6-0-0

100%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

5.4

Diff

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Kaiser Wong (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Vincent Lim (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

70:30

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Nova Chan (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

95:5

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash) - Expected: 94:6

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

5.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.70
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.70
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.69
R9	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Silver Age	Dash	95%	Win	✓	0.06	0.18

Tommaso Viscido

5th • 5-1-0

83%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

2.1

Surp

4.1

Diff

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Blake Godenzi (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs John Milner (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38

70:30

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Roman Legíň (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

65:35

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Edison Yue (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

45:55

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Iyslander) - Expected: 44:56

65:35

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.60
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.81
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.69
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.90
R10	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	1.10

Isaac Katsakis

15th • 5-1-0

100%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

2.7

Surp

5.6

Diff

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38

70:30

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Sergiu Morar (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

65:35

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs masaru okuda (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

70:30

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Alberto Hernández Martin (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Matt Rogers (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Marco Marcelli (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

5.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.70
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.61
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R9	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.78
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83

Jack Bradbury

20th • 5-1-0

83%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

5.6

Diff

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Lucas Tenorio (Iyslander) - Expected: 44:56

80:20

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Lucas Dutailly (Briar) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset

65:35

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Ben Weinfeld (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

70:30

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

65:35

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Edison Yue (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Wesley Dong (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

5.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.18
R7	Silver Age	Briar	80%	Loss	✓	0.82	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.80
R9	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.78
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	1.00
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83

Madeline Southwood

24th • 5-1-0

83%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

2.1

Surp

4.0

Diff

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Liam Bennett (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

45:55

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Iyslander) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.60
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.70
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.80
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.90
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	1.00
R11	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Shoki Imacho

30th • 5-1-0

100%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

2.5

Surp

4.6

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Marco Marcelli (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Clay DeAngelis (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

65:35

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Raphael Rosa (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

65:35

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Manuel Curiel (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs 稜馬石川 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs GAICHI YAMADA (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.61
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.90
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	1.00
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	1.10

Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller

51st • 5-1-0

67%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

2.4

Surp

7.5

Diff

70:30

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Sam Davison (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

15:85

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Nathanael Hunt (Florian) - Expected: 17:83

15:85

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Austin Kim (Florian) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory

70:30

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Robert Piper (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Tsubasa Ueda (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

7.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.52
R7	Silver Age	Florian	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R8	Silver Age	Florian	15%	Win	✗	0.83	3.45
R9	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.78
R10	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.87
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83

Kenny Tran

68th • 5-1-0

83%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

1.9

Surp

4.8

Diff

15:85

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Zachary Johnson (Florian) - Expected: 17:83

80:20

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs suk kyo suh (Briar) - Expected: 82:18

70:30

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Alex Chițu (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Jude Cornett (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38

65:35

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs 岡西達也 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

4.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Florian	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.32
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.69
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.16
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	1.10

Ryosuke Urase

84th • 5-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

2.2

Diff

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Patrick Hauser (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Kenta Miki (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

100:0

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Miyaji Kotaro (Riptide) - Expected: 100:0

70:30

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Ignacio Alvarado (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

95:5

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Andy Pham (Dash) - Expected: 94:6

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.60
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.70
R8	Silver Age	Riptide	100%	Win	✓	0.00	-
R9	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.78
R10	Silver Age	Dash	95%	Win	✓	0.06	0.16
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jimmy Nguyen

114th • 5-1-0

83%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

2.0

Surp

4.8

Diff

15:85

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Nathanael Hunt (Florian) - Expected: 17:83

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Yuki Matsumoto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Shane Martin (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38

65:35

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Yorick Schulte (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

60:40

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Sam Cornelis (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38

65:35

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Ian Zhang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Florian	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.70
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.93
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.90
R10	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.16
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	1.10

Alexander Vore

129th • 5-1-0

83%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

2.0

Surp

4.9

Diff

70:30

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Anthony Bugoci (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Eduardo Melo (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

65:35

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Tim Dasiukevich (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

15:85

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Nathanael Hunt (Florian) - Expected: 17:83

60:40

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Mason Galvan (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Randy Davis (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.52
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.61
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.80
R9	Silver Age	Florian	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R10	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.16
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83

Michael Metallo

18th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.2

Surp

3.8

Diff

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

15:85

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Kano) - Expected: 13:87

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Bryce Miller-Booker (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Dagan White (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.60
R7	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.90
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	1.00
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Brian Lorenz

35th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

4.1

Diff

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

80:20

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Briar) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Ji Timm Lee (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Kai Yang Yuen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

70:30

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs シンヤカワグチ (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.60
R7	Silver Age	Briar	80%	Loss	✓	0.82	-
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.58
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	1.00
R11	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.96

Wesley Dong

38th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.6

Surp

1.9

Diff

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs kei iikubo (Dromai) - Expected: 60:40

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Ian Zhang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

100:0

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Lucas Navarro (Riptide) - Expected: 100:0

15:85

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Florian) - Expected: 17:83

80:20

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Briar) - Expected: 82:18

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Jack Bradbury (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Dromai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.74
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.70
R8	Silver Age	Riptide	100%	Win	✓	0.00	-
R9	Silver Age	Florian	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R10	Silver Age	Briar	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.46
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

shirui wu

41st • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.2

Surp

4.2

Diff

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Raj Parikh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Enki Dupaquier (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38

15:85

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Tetsuo Matsumura (Kano) - Expected: 13:87

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.60
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.70
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.04
R10	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83

Gianluigi Lia

49th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.6

Surp

3.9

Diff

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Matt Muus (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

80:20

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Mok Marcus (Briar) - Expected: 82:18

65:35

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

70:30

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Tom Dagan (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

65:35

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Oh Oh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs haruka sonoda (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.32
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R9	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.78
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	1.00
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83

Thomas Bailey Galbraith

74th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.5

Surp

3.7

Diff

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38

65:35

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

80:20

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Joshua Rath (Briar) - Expected: 82:18

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Alex Chițu (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.81
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.80
R9	Silver Age	Briar	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.42
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jesse Hudak

93rd • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.0

Surp

3.3

Diff

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Manuel Curiel (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

15:85

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Kano) - Expected: 13:87

65:35

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Ryan Rich (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs 창건 곽 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

80:20

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Enes Findik (Briar) - Expected: 82:18

65:35

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Cass Emerson (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R7	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.80
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.90
R10	Silver Age	Briar	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.46
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	1.10

Pierre-Nicolas Perrin

118th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.0

Surp

3.2

Diff

70:30

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Illuvial Arnett (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38

65:35

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Tomasz Żelazko (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

15:85

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Anthony Dang (Florian) - Expected: 17:83

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Zachary Cauchi (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.52
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.81
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.80
R9	Silver Age	Florian	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	1.10

Alex Chițu

121st • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

2.8

Diff

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Vincent Lim (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs shirui wu (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Kenny Tran (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

95:5

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Joshua Lau (Dash) - Expected: 94:6

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.60
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.70
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Silver Age	Dash	95%	Win	✓	0.06	0.18

Jack Tang

dropped • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.2

Surp

3.7

Diff

80:20

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs KeDuo Yang (Briar) - Expected: 82:18

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

15:85

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Anthony Dang (Florian) - Expected: 17:83

70:30

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

45:55

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Léo Baty (Iyslander) - Expected: 44:56

65:35

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Briar	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.28
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.70
R8	Silver Age	Florian	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R9	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.78
R10	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.96
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-

Marco Marcelli

27th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.1

Surp

2.4

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs 창건 곽 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

70:30

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Clay DeAngelis (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

15:85

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kano) - Expected: 13:87

65:35

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Bryce Miller-Booker (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.70
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.69
R9	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	1.00
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Victor Mercado

73rd • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.7

Surp

2.8

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Bryce Miller-Booker (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Keegan Walls (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38

65:35

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs 岡西達也 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

15:85

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Michael Feng (Florian) - Expected: 17:83

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.93
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.90
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R11	Silver Age	Florian	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-

Matt Rogers

99th • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.8

Diff

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Edward Kimble (Fai) - Expected: 47:53

80:20

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Anthony Pham (Briar) - Expected: 82:18

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

15:85

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Leon Schmidtke (Kano) - Expected: 13:87

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.10
R7	Silver Age	Briar	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.32
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-

Randy Davis

136th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.6

Surp

2.9

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Peng Joon (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Torpong Juntree (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

65:35

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

15:85

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Michael Feng (Florian) - Expected: 17:83

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.61
R8	Silver Age	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R10	Silver Age	Florian	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jason Rolfe

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.7

Surp

4.9

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Randy Davis (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

10:90

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs TAKEYUKI MATSUBARA (Dorinthea) - Expected: 11:89, underdog victory

95:5

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Dash) - Expected: 94:6

40:60

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Matthew Clark (Terra) - Expected: 38:62

65:35

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Shahmir Samee (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs shirui wu (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

4.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Dorinthea	10%	Win	✗	0.89	3.74
R8	Silver Age	Dash	95%	Win	✓	0.06	0.13
R9	Silver Age	Terra	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	1.00
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

haruka sonoda

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.7

Surp

1.7

Diff

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jacob Clements (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Terra) - Expected: 38:62

15:85

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Joshua Myles Lim (Kano) - Expected: 13:87

100:0

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Lucas Navarro (Riptide) - Expected: 100:0

65:35

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Tomasz Żelazko (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.70
R7	Silver Age	Terra	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R8	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R9	Silver Age	Riptide	100%	Win	✓	0.00	-
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	1.00
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Dennis Zhang

63rd • 2-1-3

100%

Meta

-2.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.9

Diff

95:5

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Joshua Lau (Dash) - Expected: 94:6

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Draw vs Matt Muus (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38

65:35

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

70:30

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Bun Ar (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

65:35

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Draw vs Guillem Las Heras (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Draw vs Jun Kheng Ong (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Dash	95%	Win	✓	0.06	0.10
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Draw	✓	0.62	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R9	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.78
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Draw	✓	0.66	-
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Draw	✓	0.66	-

Chia Yong Teck

153rd • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.6

Diff

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Igor Wesołowski (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

45:55

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Beslan Tatayev (Fai) - Expected: 47:53

70:30

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.60
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R10	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R11	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.96

Mirko Dolce

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Joel Gibbons (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

15:85

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Zachary Johnson (Florian) - Expected: 17:83

65:35

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Andrew Singleton (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.81
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R10	Silver Age	Florian	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	1.10

Yukihiko Ikeda

109th • 1-5-0

67%

Meta

-2.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.3

Diff

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Iyslander) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Chia Yong Teck (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Iyslander) - Expected: 44:56

65:35

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

65:35

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Ryan Newberry (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R7	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-

Hayden Jeanson

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.6

Diff

15:85

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Filipe Lima Cardoso (Kano) - Expected: 13:87

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Jean Paul Negron (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

80:20

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Briar) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset

65:35

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Laksana Eka S.P. (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.60
R9	Silver Age	Briar	80%	Loss	✓	0.82	-
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-

Josh Lind

dropped • 3-0-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

4.3

Diff

70:30

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jacob Hyde (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Chandler To (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38

65:35

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Jakub Koenner (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	1.04
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.63
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	1.59

Jean Paul Negron

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

7.8

Diff

70:30

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Paul Barthonnet (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

15:85

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs William Pearlman (Kano) - Expected: 13:87, underdog victory

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (1.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

7.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	1.04
R7	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Win	✗	0.87	6.75
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kelvin Ng

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

3.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Cody Broten (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

65:35

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Patrick Hauser (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	1.40
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	1.59

Luke Manship

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

1.0

Surp

3.9

Diff

15:85

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Martin KRAWIES (Florian) - Expected: 17:83

70:30

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Melvin Chew (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Nghia Tran (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Florian	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	1.22
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.67

Mauro Annetta

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

0.7

Surp

2.0

Diff

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs RICARDO DIAZ (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38

80:20

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Matthew W (Briar) - Expected: 82:18

10:90

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Lucas RUZAFA (Dorinthea) - Expected: 11:89

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

0.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.39
R7	Silver Age	Briar	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.65
R8	Silver Age	Dorinthea	10%	Loss	✗	0.11	-

Samuel Coffey

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

1.4

Surp

2.8

Diff

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Choi Tae seong (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Luke E (Vynnset) - Expected: 62:38

65:35

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	1.20
R7	Silver Age	Vynnset	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.63
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-

Tariq Patel

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.5

Surp

3.7

Diff

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Chandler To (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Andre Ryan See (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.39
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Tyler Kearney

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.1

Surp

1.6

Diff

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Daniel Dreisziger (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38

95:5

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Connor Bryant (Dash) - Expected: 94:6

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Ben Thomas (Vynnset) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.39
R7	Silver Age	Dash	95%	Win	✓	0.06	0.22
R8	Silver Age	Vynnset	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Andrew Ang

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.2

Surp

1.7

Diff

70:30

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Tom Dagan (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Jacob Bertrand (Dromai) - Expected: 60:40

15:85

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Zdeněk Matura (Kano) - Expected: 13:87

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R7	Silver Age	Dromai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.74
R8	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-

Eric Gaudreault

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

0.9

Surp

1.2

Diff

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Brandon Canedy (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

15:85

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Logan King (Florian) - Expected: 17:83

35:65

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs takahiro nishimura (Rhinar) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	1.20
R7	Silver Age	Florian	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R8	Silver Age	Rhinar	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Majin Bae

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.1

Surp

1.2

Diff

70:30

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Brian Gutierrez (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

70:30

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Alan Teixeira (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

15:85

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kano) - Expected: 13:87

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	1.22
R8	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-

Nghia Tran

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Emmanuel Rojas (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Luke Manship (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.39
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nick Butcher

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.3

Surp

1.2

Diff

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Bartłomiej Chrobak (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Nuu) - Expected: 33:67

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	1.20
R7	Silver Age	Nuu	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Chard Tan

dropped • 1-1-0

50%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

0.5

Surp

2.2

Diff

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jacob Bertrand (Dromai) - Expected: 60:40

15:85

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Hao-Han Chuang (Kano) - Expected: 13:87

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (0.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Dromai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	2.23
R7	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-

Edric Ramos

dropped • 1-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

0.9

Surp

1.6

Diff

70:30

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Nick McGrath (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Kuan Li (Dromai) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	1.56
R7	Silver Age	Dromai	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Okamoto Natsuki

dropped • 1-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.8

Diff

80:20

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jakob Allan (Briar) - Expected: 82:18

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Briar	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.83
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-

Andre Ryan See

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

15:85

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Tetsuo Matsumura (Kano) - Expected: 13:87

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Oldhim) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kano	15%	Loss	✗	0.13	-
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nathaniel Jerald Bea

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Law Wen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-

Darren Taing

dropped • 1-0-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

0.3

Surp

3.6

Diff

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Leila Catton (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 66:34

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (0.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.34	3.59

Nicholas Wong

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

0.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

70:30

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (0.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-

Shawn Tjong

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.