Ira, Crimson Haze at Pro Tour: Yokohama 2026

Ira, Crimson Haze

131 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Bartosz Dobrowolski

3rd • 6-0-0

83%

Meta

+3.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

8.5

Diff

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs EITARO SHIBATA (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Cass Emerson (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Michael Feng (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Luke Gilmore (Vynnset) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs masaru okuda (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

8.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.82
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.17
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.26
R10	Silver Age	Vynnset	40%	Win	✗	0.59	2.12
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83

Gordon Koh Koh

9th • 5-1-0

67%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

2.7

Surp

6.9

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Sam Cornelis (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs gabriel ebady (Dash) - Expected: 62:38

35:65

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Yudai Shimizu (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Lucas Dutailly (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

6.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.99
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.96
R8	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.92
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	2.40

GAICHI YAMADA

32nd • 5-1-0

67%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

2.8

Surp

6.5

Diff

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Dash) - Expected: 62:38

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Ignacio Alvarado (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Ben Dodd (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

35:65

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

6.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.69
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.82
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.31
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.22
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Hayate Nakamura

33rd • 5-1-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.2

Surp

3.8

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Eli Teed (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

95:5

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Taotao Chu (Nuu) - Expected: 94:6

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Justin Cu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

85:15

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Matthew Angove (Dromai) - Expected: 83:17

55:45

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.96
R8	Silver Age	Nuu	95%	Win	✓	0.06	0.12
R9	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.23
R10	Silver Age	Dromai	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.45
R11	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Marek Meyer

45th • 5-1-0

83%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.1

Surp

7.1

Diff

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Terukazu Goshima (Vynnset) - Expected: 41:59

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Hiroyuki Tansei (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Mason Galvan (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Nathanael Hunt (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Hiroki Saito (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

7.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Vynnset	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.27
R7	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.23
R10	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.40
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83

Bernardo Cardoso

60th • 5-1-0

33%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

3.8

Surp

10.1

Diff

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Kai Young Tan (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Nghia Tran (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

35:65

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Samuel Coffey (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

35:65

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Chia Yong Teck (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

65:35

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Tim Coates (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

35:65

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Lucas Navarro (Riptide) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

10.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo, Berserker Runt	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.82
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	2.08
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	2.34
R10	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R11	Silver Age	Riptide	35%	Win	✗	0.66	2.82

Yorick Schulte

86th • 5-1-0

67%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

2.7

Surp

6.5

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Luke Snyder (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Gui Cohen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Sebastian Spicher (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

35:65

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

40:60

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Joshua Rath (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

60:40

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Hao-Han Chuang (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

6.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.17
R8	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.91
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R10	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	2.19
R11	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.25

Ryan Newberry

105th • 5-1-0

67%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

3.2

Surp

8.2

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Sammy Weckx (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Colin Topper (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Mercy Bickell (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

8.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.99
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.96
R8	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.75
R9	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R10	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.64
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	2.86

岡西達也

111th • 5-1-0

67%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

2.7

Surp

6.8

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Dominic Chong (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Mikko Pena (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Yuanji Li (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs David Chirulescu (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Victor Mercado (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

35:65

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Kenny Tran (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

6.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00
R7	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.76
R8	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.91
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	2.60
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Jun Kheng Ong

dropped • 4-1-1

67%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

2.5

Surp

4.3

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Viet Pham (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Esmond Heng (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Dominic Chong (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Hao-Han Chuang (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

30:70

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 30:70

35:65

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Draw vs Dennis Zhang (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.96
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.02
R10	Silver Age	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Draw	✗	0.34	-

Jeremy Chen

16th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.9

Surp

5.3

Diff

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Eugene C (Dash) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs shoma yamamura (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Matthew Harris (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Dagan White (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

5.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.65
R7	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.48
R10	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83

David Chirulescu

22nd • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

5.6

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs 岡本一朗 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Ilias Karamanis (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs 岡西達也 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Connar Bodoh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs EITARO SHIBATA (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

5.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.17
R8	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.91
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83

Bryce Stroyek

23rd • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.6

Surp

4.8

Diff

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs francisco guerrero (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Lucas Dutailly (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Matt Muus (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

80:20

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Emily Froese (Enigma) - Expected: 79:21

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Raphael Rosa (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

4.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.15
R8	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R9	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.23
R10	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.56
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83

masaru okuda

31st • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

5.9

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Léo Baty (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Luke Gilmore (Vynnset) - Expected: 41:59

35:65

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Isaac Katsakis (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs 岡本一朗 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Anthony Dang (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.97
R7	Silver Age	Vynnset	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	2.08
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.40
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

shoma yamamura

34th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.8

Surp

4.4

Diff

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Lucas Dutailly (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Tim Coates (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Joshua Myles Lim (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

65:35

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36

60:40

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Zak Miller (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.31
R7	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.76
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R10	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Win	✓	0.36	1.09
R11	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.25

Cass Emerson

39th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

2.8

Surp

5.2

Diff

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs David Yau (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Arjun Garg (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Igor Wesołowski (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs 岡本一朗 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

5.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.82
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.17
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Hiroki Saito

54th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.8

Surp

4.6

Diff

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Mason Galvan (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Mikko Salmi (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Guillermo Vergara Vazquez (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Logan King (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

4.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.82
R7	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.31
R9	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.02
R10	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.40
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Anton Cid Mejias

61st • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

2.8

Surp

5.5

Diff

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs shirui wu (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Jake Landaiche (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Sam Cornelis (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs EITARO SHIBATA (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Léo Baty (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

5.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.15
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.23
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.78

Shahmir Samee

66th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.4

Surp

3.9

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Michael Postle (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

85:15

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs kei iikubo (Dromai) - Expected: 83:17

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Martin KRAWIES (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

55:45

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Kelvin Chen (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.99
R7	Silver Age	Dromai	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.32
R8	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.12
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R11	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.51

Dagan White

69th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.5

Surp

4.2

Diff

80:20

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Emily Froese (Enigma) - Expected: 79:21

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Güntekin Koc (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Franciszek Sapikowski (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Raphael Rosa (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.33
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.17
R8	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.15
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Laksana Eka S.P.

82nd • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.2

Surp

6.7

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Jake mccormack (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Shuto Ushiro (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

35:65

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Matthew Clark (Terra) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

6.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.80
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	2.60
R11	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.93

Kenji Enomoto

83rd • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

5.6

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs ZongRu Wu (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Ben Weinfeld (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.99
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.17
R8	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.87
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	2.60
R11	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Yoshiki Mizutani

94th • 4-2-0

33%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

2.8

Surp

5.8

Diff

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Jacob Gladman (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Aidan Barsony (Vynnset) - Expected: 41:59

35:65

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Randy Davis (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

35:65

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

5.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.64
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.17
R8	Silver Age	Vynnset	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.70
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	2.34
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Lucas Ng

96th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

3.9

Diff

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Tim Sofsky (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

85:15

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs kei iikubo (Dromai) - Expected: 83:17

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Ji Timm Lee (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Andy Pham (Dash) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.82
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	Silver Age	Dromai	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.36
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.44
R11	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.27

Phillip Spader

113th • 4-2-0

33%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

2.8

Surp

6.8

Diff

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Lancelot Errico (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

35:65

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Gianluigi Lia (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

60:40

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Evan Herndon (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

35:65

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Madeline Southwood (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Jack Tang (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

6.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R7	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.80
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	2.08
R9	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.02
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	2.86

Connar Bodoh

127th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

5.5

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Samed Demir (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs June Lekstutis (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs francisco guerrero (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Guillermo Vergara Vazquez (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.53
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.31
R9	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.45
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.25

Yudai Shimizu

128th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.1

Surp

5.5

Diff

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Leon Schmidtke (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Lucas Izumi (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Raj Parikh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Zachary Johnson (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

5.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.17
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.54

Peter Bråss

148th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.5

Surp

4.2

Diff

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Xavier McLean (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs 雅貴大場 (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

40:60

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Enes Findik (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Clay DeAngelis (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Mok Marcus (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.82
R7	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.80
R8	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.91
R9	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R10	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.64
R11	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Eli Teed

dropped • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.1

Surp

6.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Hayate Nakamura (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs 尚規石坂 (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Ryu San jose (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dash) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

R10

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs 岡本一朗 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

6.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.15
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R10	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83

Yong Yi Chua

dropped • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.6

Surp

3.9

Diff

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Phitchaya Tungpavitaya (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36

95:5

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Josue Murillo Leon (Nuu) - Expected: 94:6

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Ivan Teo (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Tsubasa Ueda (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Guillermo Vergara Vazquez (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

R11

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.65
R7	Silver Age	Nuu	95%	Win	✓	0.06	0.11
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R10	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R11	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83

Guillem Las Heras

124th • 3-2-1

50%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.6

Surp

3.6

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Law Wen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Mikko Salmi (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Madeline Southwood (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Lucas Ng (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Draw vs Dennis Zhang (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

40:60

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.15
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Draw	✗	0.34	-
R11	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Tom Escoffier

21st • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

4.3

Diff

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Eugene C (Dash) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Chia Yong Teck (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Bryce Miller-Booker (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

60:40

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Terra) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.82
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R10	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.16
R11	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Oh Oh

55th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

3.5

Diff

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Fai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Tim Dasiukevich (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

65:35

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.17
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.10
R9	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R11	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Win	✓	0.36	1.20

Ian Zhang

58th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.7

Surp

4.8

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Güntekin Koc (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Connor Leverton (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

60:40

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Leon Schmidtke (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

35:65

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

4.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	2.34
R10	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.14
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Rob Catton

59th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.8

Surp

3.5

Diff

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Austin Kim (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Soya Okuda (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Eric Pettinelli (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Keegan Walls (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.84
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.17
R8	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R11	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.51

Eric Pettinelli

77th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.3

Surp

4.1

Diff

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Kazuki Itabashi (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Michael Feng (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Andrew Cook (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Rob Catton (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

65:35

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.31
R7	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R8	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.29
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R11	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Kai Yang Yuen

80th • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.7

Surp

4.4

Diff

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs May Hayden (Vynnset) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Singleton (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Clinton Ng (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Manuel Curiel (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Vynnset	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.10
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83

Adam Fronsee

90th • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.2

Surp

4.7

Diff

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs suk kyo suh (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Okamoto Natsuki (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Shahmir Samee (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs John Milner (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.82
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R11	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Raphael Rosa

97th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

4.2

Diff

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Joshua Rath (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

35:65

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Shoki Imacho (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Dagan White (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs May Hayden (Vynnset) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.31
R7	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.80
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	2.08
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Silver Age	Vynnset	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

稜馬石川

142nd • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.6

Surp

2.2

Diff

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Enki Dupaquier (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

80:20

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Ralph Schlauri (Enigma) - Expected: 79:21

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

60:40

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.82
R7	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.98
R8	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.45
R9	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R11	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Matthias Verbeeck

154th • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.5

Diff

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Douglas Levy (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

85:15

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Austin Somers (Dromai) - Expected: 83:17

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Ilias Karamanis (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Andy Pham (Dash) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

55:45

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs John Milner (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Clay DeAngelis (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.82
R7	Silver Age	Dromai	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.32
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R10	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R11	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

EITARO SHIBATA

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

4.3

Diff

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Stephen Henry (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.10
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Soya Okuda

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.3

Surp

5.3

Diff

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Cody Williams (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Rob Catton (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

60:40

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Jun Loong Wong (Fai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Pudding Tam (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

5.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	2.08
R9	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.51

Takumi Watanabe

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

4.1

Diff

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Mikko Pena (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Omeid Vadipour (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Yutaro Yamada (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Kai Yang Yuen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.15
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.64
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Tomasz Żelazko

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.5

Surp

3.2

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Nicolas Heiden (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Kunihiko Date (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

60:40

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Juan Chacon (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

35:65

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

40:60

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Ben Thomas (Vynnset) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.17
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R9	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.02
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R11	Silver Age	Vynnset	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Liam Bennett

62nd • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.0

Diff

80:20

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Enigma) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Joshua Neitzel (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Zachary Johnson (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Madeline Southwood (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

55:45

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Loss	✓	0.79	-
R7	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.86
R8	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.12
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R10	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R11	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Edison Yue

87th • 2-4-0

33%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs 창건 곽 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs gabriel ebady (Dash) - Expected: 62:38

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs May Hayden (Vynnset) - Expected: 41:59

35:65

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Jack Bradbury (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

40:60

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Vynnset) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00
R7	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.81
R8	Silver Age	Vynnset	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R11	Silver Age	Vynnset	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

岡本一朗

108th • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs David Chirulescu (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs masaru okuda (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Cass Emerson (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Eli Teed (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.15
R8	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Bryce Miller-Booker

131st • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.6

Diff

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jude Cornett (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Victor Mercado (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.82
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.82
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R11	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Manuel Curiel

135th • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.7

Diff

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs シンヤカワグチ (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Matt Muus (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Shoki Imacho (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

55:45

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Kai Yang Yuen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	1.56
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.10
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R10	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Pudding Tam

139th • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.6

Diff

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Justin Cu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dash) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Kelvin Chen (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Tsubasa Ueda (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R7	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.23
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Stephen Henry

141st • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.7

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Hayashi Takashi (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs motohiro makigano (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs EITARO SHIBATA (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Enki Dupaquier (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.98
R8	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.75
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R11	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Güntekin Koc

149th • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.3

Surp

3.4

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Ian Zhang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Dagan White (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Leon Schmidtke (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Joshua Rath (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R9	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R10	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R11	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	2.40

Andrei Sebastian Suciu

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

3.2

Diff

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Yudai Shimizu (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Ben Thomas (Vynnset) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Valentin Varga (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R7	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Silver Age	Vynnset	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83

Andrew Singleton

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Ryu San jose (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Kai Yang Yuen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Léo Baty (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

30:70

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 30:70

40:60

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Mok Marcus (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

35:65

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.17
R8	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R9	Silver Age	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R10	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Igor Wesołowski

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.4

Surp

2.1

Diff

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Chia Yong Teck (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Jasper de Riet (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

35:65

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Cass Emerson (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Alberto Hernández Martin (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs gabriel ebady (Dash) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R7	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.80
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R11	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.27

Valentin Varga

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Lucas Izumi (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Nicholas Tran (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Ignacio Alvarado (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.96
R8	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R10	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

창건 곽

dropped • 1-5-0

67%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Edison Yue (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Ethan Maher (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Tom Dagan (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.10
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R10	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R11	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Manuel Hoffmann

dropped • 3-0-0

100%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

5.7

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Steven Christian (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Daniel Sternesky (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

65:35

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Alexej Vollmer (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

5.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R7	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.96
R8	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	65%	Win	✓	0.36	1.70

Alex Lo

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

1.2

Surp

2.7

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Colin Li (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Reuben Thomas (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

85:15

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Austin Somers (Dromai) - Expected: 83:17

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.97
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R8	Silver Age	Dromai	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.72

Angelito Jr Eusebio

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.1

Surp

3.3

Diff

80:20

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Henrique Gouvêa (Enigma) - Expected: 79:21

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Miyaji Kotaro (Riptide) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Vincent Lim (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Enigma	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.67
R7	Silver Age	Riptide	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.67

Connor Leverton

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

4.7

Diff

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Ryouichi Sakazaki (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Jaime Manzano (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.64
R7	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	3.06
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ivan Taranto

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

5.5

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Rocko Yan (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Léo Baty (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs suk kyo suh (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

5.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.97
R7	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	3.50

Ivan Teo

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

3.7

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Khoi Dinh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Hazeeq Hilman (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Yong Yi Chua (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R7	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.71
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jakub Koenner

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.2

Surp

3.3

Diff

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Cody Gebert (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Joel Guzman (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Josh Lind (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.36
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.92
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Jason Watkins

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.6

Surp

4.6

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Bota Claudiu (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Masaki Hamada (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Thiago Almeida Cunha (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

4.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.97
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	2.63

Johannes Klaus

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

5.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Thiago Almeida Cunha (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Rocky, Weng Khuan Lim (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Khoi Dinh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

5.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.67

Kenta Miki

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.2

Surp

4.0

Diff

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Zdeněk Matura (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Omeid Vadipour (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.36
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	2.63

Lee Ming-Han

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.5

Surp

4.3

Diff

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Daniel Sternesky (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Wen Yu Thye (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.68
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R8	Silver Age	Benji, the Piercing Wind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.67

Michael McDowell

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.3

Surp

4.0

Diff

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Katsuya Hirai (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Jian Wei Tee (Vynnset) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Natthaphon Kasemphonchotinan (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.36
R7	Silver Age	Vynnset	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.67

Ryan Bell

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

4.3

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Rocky, Weng Khuan Lim (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Tom Dagan (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Tom Simon

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.4

Surp

3.7

Diff

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs TAKEYUKI MATSUBARA (Dorinthea) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs 雅貴大場 (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Dorinthea	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.92
R8	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.82

Alex Mihilli

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

2.6

Diff

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Alexis VALENTIN (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Ryan Youngquist (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Nathan Eastwood (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R7	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	2.63

Arjun Garg

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Ryan Rich (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Cass Emerson (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Hao-Han Chuang (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Bartłomiej Chrobak

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

2.6

Diff

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Tom Malek (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Porter Boroski (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	2.63

Chu Heng Eng

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

2.3

Diff

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Joshua Myles Lim (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Ernesto Manzur (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Cody Broten

dropped • 1-2-0

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.3

Surp

3.5

Diff

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs motohiro makigano (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Kelvin Ng (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Nicholas Tan (Nickay) (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R8	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	3.50

Cubi Nguyen

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.3

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Tuomas Kainulainen (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Steven Chen (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Justin Gottlieb (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R8	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.44	2.24

David Petry

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.4

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Mikko Salmi (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Giani Gabriel Dinu (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.96

Dominic Chong

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.4

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs 岡西達也 (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Alexander Young (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Jun Kheng Ong (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.92
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ernesto Manzur

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.4

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Xincheng Hou (Dash) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.85

Gui Cohen

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.8

Diff

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs William Pearlman (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.82

Harpreet Singh Dhillon

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.6

Diff

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Tyler Zeringue (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Porter Boroski (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Ashley Southwood (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.64
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Hiroyuki Tansei

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Christian Drabusenigg (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.97
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jean Luka Zorko

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Ross Newson (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	2.30
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jordan Jalbert-Ross

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.3

Surp

1.6

Diff

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Masaki Hamada (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Jack Tang (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Iyslander) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.64
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R8	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Khoi Dinh

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Ivan Teo (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs lucas gomes pacheco (Terra) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Johannes Klaus (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.52	2.45
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kunihiko Date

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Laksana Eka S.P. (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Law Wen

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.7

Surp

3.6

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	3.64
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Luke Snyder

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.4

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 64:36

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Colin Topper (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	65%	Win	✓	0.36	1.49
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Matthew McInnis

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Dexter Phan (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

30:70

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Camden Keener (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Michael Postle (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.97
R7	Silver Age	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Natthaphon Kasemphonchotinan

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.3

Surp

1.6

Diff

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jian Wei Tee (Vynnset) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Katsuya Hirai (Kano) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Michael McDowell (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Vynnset	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R7	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Win	✓	0.38	1.59
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nicolas Heiden

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.7

Surp

3.5

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Ismael Boulbaz (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Steven Chen (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R8	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	3.50

Patrick Hauser

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.1

Surp

1.7

Diff

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Doriann LASSARA (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

35:65

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Kelvin Ng (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R7	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.71
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Raj Parikh

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Husan Bang Chang (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs shirui wu (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Yudai Shimizu (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Robin Avenoso

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Omeid Vadipour (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Ignacio Alvarado (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Oscar Ojeda Gomez (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.97
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Ryan Rich

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Pádraig Ní Rúis (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	2.30
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Ryu San jose

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.4

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Singleton (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs David Yau (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Eli Teed (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.92
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Samed Demir

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Connar Bodoh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Bun Ar (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Robert Piper (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Shuto Ushiro

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.5

Surp

3.1

Diff

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Laksana Eka S.P. (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Win	✗	0.66	3.12
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Victor Bousch

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

2.6

Diff

30:70

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Yutaro Yamada (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Max McLean (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.49	2.63

Wiroon Juesathainrat

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.3

Surp

1.6

Diff

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Colin Topper (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.64
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Yuki Matsumoto

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Steven Leyva (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Neil Bautista (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Yutaro Yamada

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

2.3

Diff

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Anthony Dang (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Victor Bousch (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Takumi Watanabe (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Zack Phillips

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Lucas Navarro (Riptide) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Alberto Hernández Martin (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R7	Silver Age	Riptide	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Ben Weinfeld

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Luke Gilmore (Vynnset) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Jack Bradbury (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Vynnset	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

German Glukhov

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Michael Feng (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Lancelot Errico (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R8	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Ilias Karamanis

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Terra) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Matthias Verbeeck (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jacob Gladman

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs John Milner (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Lucas Izumi

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Valentin Varga (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Yudai Shimizu (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs yohei ohki (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Lucas Oswald

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Madeline Southwood (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tim Dasiukevich

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs シンヤカワグチ (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Oh Oh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Vincent Lim

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Zachary Cauchi (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Andrew Rothermel

dropped • 1-1-0

50%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

1.2

Surp

3.9

Diff

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs song kyunghwan (Briar) - Expected: 40:60

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Emmanuel Rojas (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Briar	40%	Win	✗	0.60	3.93
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Teddy Tai

dropped • 1-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.0

Surp

2.2

Diff

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Fabian Rex (Fai) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Martin KRAWIES (Florian) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	2.20
R7	Silver Age	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Blake Godenzi

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Alice Greer-Stokes (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Brandon Canedy

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Eric Gaudreault (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Kano) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R7	Silver Age	Kano	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Damon Elgie

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Peng Joon (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Illuvial Arnett (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Husan Bang Chang

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Rocky, Weng Khuan Lim

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Ryan Bell (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Johannes Klaus (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Scott "HowlingMines" Mines

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Madeline Southwood (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Ryan Bell (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Steven Christian

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Manuel Hoffmann (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Mitch Winter (Kassai) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Viet Pham

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jun Kheng Ong (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Riptide) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Riptide	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Choi Tae seong

dropped • 0-1-0

Meta

-0.3

Perf

0.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Samuel Coffey (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (0.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

DYLAN MANGINI

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Joseph Sierra

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Hazeeq Hilman (Fai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Fai	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Keith Tan

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Clinton Ng (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Leila Catton

dropped • 0-1-0

Meta

-0.3

Perf

0.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Darren Taing (Oldhim) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (0.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Pei-Tung Liao

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Dash	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Steven Leyva

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Yuki Matsumoto (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Wojciech Andrusewicz

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Max McLean (Kayo) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.