Pro Tour: Yokohama 2026 - Bravo, Flattering Showman (SAGE)

Bravo, Flattering Showman

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Pablo Pintor

37th • 6-0-0

50%

Meta

+3.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

8.9

Diff

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Steven Chen (Briar) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Maurice Hostettler (Florian) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Justin Fryar (Briar) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Güntekin Koc (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Liam Bennett (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

8.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.81
R7	Silver Age	Florian	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.77
R8	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.08
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.73
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.92
R11	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.55

Ji Timm Lee

dropped • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.9

Surp

5.0

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Shawn Tjong (Oldhim) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Marsha Ho (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Illuvial Arnett (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Oldhim) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Sam Cornelis (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

5.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.95
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.15
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.32
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R11	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.55

Franciszek Sapikowski

19th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.9

Surp

4.3

Diff

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Oldhim) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Dagan White (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Oldhim) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Roman Legíň (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.11
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R9	Silver Age	Oldhim	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R10	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.65
R11	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.55

Tristan Del Pako

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

1.2

Surp

3.6

Diff

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Christopher Higashi (Briar) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Alexis VALENTIN (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 56:44

30:70

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Steven Young (Kano) - Expected: 28:72

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.63
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.98
R8	Silver Age	Kano	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-

Bart Horré

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.4

Surp

1.5

Diff

60:40

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Alexej Vollmer (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Briar) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Iyslander) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Arakni, Web of Deceit	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.47
R7	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R8	Silver Age	Iyslander	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.