Pro Tour: Yokohama 2026 - Dash (SAGE) - FaB-Results

Dash

Dash

13 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

3rd • 4-2-0

17%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

3.0

Surp

6.7

Diff

Ira, Crimson Haze

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Tom Escoffier (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Ira, Crimson Haze

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Jeremy Chen (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Arakni, Solitary Confinement

R8

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Colin Eriksen (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Iyslander

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Iyslander) - Expected: 45:55

Briar

25:75

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Briar) - Expected: 26:74

Florian

40:60

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Florian) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

6.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.39
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.62
R8	Silver Age	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R10	Silver Age	Briar	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R11	Silver Age	Florian	40%	Win	✗	0.59	2.36

147th • 3-3-0

33%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.2

Surp

3.6

Diff

Kano

70:30

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Juan Chacon (Kano) - Expected: 71:29

Dromai

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Matthew Angove (Dromai) - Expected: 39:61

Fai

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Joshua Neitzel (Fai) - Expected: 57:43

Ira, Crimson Haze

40:60

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Matthias Verbeeck (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Oldhim

5:95

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Oldhim) - Expected: 6:94

Ira, Crimson Haze

40:60

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kano	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.49
R7	Silver Age	Dromai	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R8	Silver Age	Fai	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.08
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	2.08
R10	Silver Age	Oldhim	5%	Loss	✗	0.06	-
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Emanuel Corps-Ortiz

72nd • 2-4-0

17%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

2.7

Diff

Briar

25:75

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Briar) - Expected: 26:74

Enigma

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Enigma) - Expected: 35:65

Kayo

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Kayo) - Expected: 60:40

Iyslander

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Léo Baty (Iyslander) - Expected: 45:55

Ira, Crimson Haze

40:60

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Tom Escoffier (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

Oldhim

5:95

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Zachary Cauchi (Oldhim) - Expected: 6:94

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Briar	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R7	Silver Age	Enigma	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.99
R9	Silver Age	Iyslander	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.73
R10	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	5%	Loss	✗	0.06	-

89th • 2-4-0

0%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.0

Surp

3.7

Diff

Oldhim

5:95

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Oldhim) - Expected: 6:94

Ira, Crimson Haze

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Pudding Tam (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Florian

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Florian) - Expected: 41:59

Ira, Crimson Haze

40:60

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Eli Teed (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Dorinthea

20:80

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Dorinthea) - Expected: 20:80

Oldhim

5:95

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Oldhim) - Expected: 6:94

Meta Fit

0% (0/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Oldhim	5%	Loss	✗	0.06	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.62
R8	Silver Age	Florian	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R9	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	2.08
R10	Silver Age	Dorinthea	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R11	Silver Age	Oldhim	5%	Loss	✗	0.06	-

dropped • 1-5-0

33%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.5

Diff

Kano

70:30

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Kano) - Expected: 71:29

Ira, Crimson Haze

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Edison Yue (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

Ira, Crimson Haze

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

Dorinthea

20:80

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Lucas RUZAFA (Dorinthea) - Expected: 20:80

Kayo

60:40

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kayo) - Expected: 60:40

Ira, Crimson Haze

40:60

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Igor Wesołowski (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kano	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.49
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R9	Silver Age	Dorinthea	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R10	Silver Age	Kayo	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R11	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

dropped • 2-1-0

33%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

1.0

Surp

4.1

Diff

Ira, Crimson Haze

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Oldhim

5:95

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Oldhim) - Expected: 6:94

Kano

70:30

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Jin Han Toh (Kano) - Expected: 71:29

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (1.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	2.78
R7	Silver Age	Oldhim	5%	Loss	✗	0.06	-
R8	Silver Age	Kano	70%	Win	✓	0.29	1.29

dropped • 1-2-0

0%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

1.4

Surp

3.5

Diff

Vynnset

30:70

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Vynnset) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

Florian

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Florian) - Expected: 41:59

Briar

25:75

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Marie Watson (Briar) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Vynnset	30%	Win	✗	0.70	3.47
R7	Silver Age	Florian	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R8	Silver Age	Briar	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

0.9

Surp

2.0

Diff

Briar

25:75

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Mercy Bickell (Briar) - Expected: 26:74

Dorinthea

20:80

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Dorinthea) - Expected: 20:80

Kayo

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Dexter Phan (Kayo) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Briar	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R7	Silver Age	Dorinthea	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.98

Taufik Indrakesuma

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

0.8

Surp

1.0

Diff

Kano

70:30

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jake mccormack (Kano) - Expected: 71:29

Florian

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Anthony Dang (Florian) - Expected: 41:59

Oldhim

5:95

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Oldhim) - Expected: 6:94

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Kano	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.97
R7	Silver Age	Florian	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R8	Silver Age	Oldhim	5%	Loss	✗	0.06	-

dropped • 0-3-0

0%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

Ira, Crimson Haze

40:60

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

Valda Brightaxe

15:85

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Ethan Maher (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 16:84

Ira, Crimson Haze

40:60

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Ernesto Manzur (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R7	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

dropped • 1-1-0

50%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

0.7

Surp

3.0

Diff

Dash

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Emma Hollingsworth (Dash) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Dorinthea

20:80

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Lucas RUZAFA (Dorinthea) - Expected: 20:80

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (0.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Dash	50%	Win	✓	0.50	3.00
R7	Silver Age	Dorinthea	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

Fai

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Giani Gabriel Dinu (Fai) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Fai	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Emma Hollingsworth

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

Dash

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Philippe Thai (Dash) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R6	Silver Age	Dash	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.