Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty at Calling: Los Angeles

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

42 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Dennis Zhang

3rd • 11-3-1

73%

Meta

+3.1

Perf

6.1

Surp

4.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Hunter Pemberton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jaime Manzano (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michael Dailey (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jodey Burney (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Bennett Robinson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Draw vs Lucas Ng (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Anthony Pham (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Daniel Flavin (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

85:15

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Garrett Shustarich (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 83:17

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Aria How (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39

20:80

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 19:81

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47

20:80

R15 CC

Round 15: Loss vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 19:81

Meta Fit

73% (11/15 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.1 Wins (7.9 expected, 11 actual)

Surprise

6.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.05
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.12
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.14
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.11
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.26
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.48
R7	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Draw	✓	0.59	-
R8	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.64
R9	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R10	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.18
R11	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R12	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.56
R13	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R14	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.86
R15	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-

Nova Chan

5th • 11-2-1

79%

Meta

+2.9

Perf

6.3

Surp

4.5

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Edward Kim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs John Nguyen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Abtin RAVANIPOUR (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs noah zubeidi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Christopher Yunck (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Omeid Vadipour (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Douglas Shima (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Bryan De La Torre (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

75:25

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Bryan Hefner (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 58:42

85:15

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Garrett Shustarich (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 83:17

R12

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Eric Lerer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

79% (11/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.9 Wins (8.1 expected, 11 actual)

Surprise

6.3 total deviation

Difficulty

4.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.07
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.17
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Draw	✓	0.75	-
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.20
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.15
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.67
R8	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.28
R10	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.57
R11	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.21
R12	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R13	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.85
R14	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Kaiser Wong

16th • 10-3-0

77%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

5.5

Surp

4.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Mike Williams (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ryan Miller (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 74:26

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alan Chavarin (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Roger Bodee (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Alexander Benton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Bryan Hefner (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Ryan Mound (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Tyler Kearney (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Aria How (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

77% (10/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (7.5 expected, 10 actual)

Surprise

5.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.07
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.21
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.28
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.16
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.55
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.23
R8	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.74
R9	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R10	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R11	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.85
R12	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.40
R13	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.70

Michael Jaszczur

36th • 9-4-0

85%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

6.3

Surp

4.1

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Connar Bodoh (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Anthony Cicchinelli (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Daniel Dreisziger (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Johnson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs nicolas Jamoulle (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Kenneth Thomas (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Clay DeAngelis (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Derek Chiu (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

85% (11/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (7.1 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.3 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.06
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.18
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.23
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.13
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.27
R6	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R8	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.47
R9	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.69
R10	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R11	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.85
R12	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R13	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.20

Richard Yanke

37th • 9-4-0

77%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

6.6

Surp

3.3

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jordan Brengartner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Elliott Sisterson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs MOISES LOPEZ (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

85:15

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Garrett Shustarich (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Parker Pemberton (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jodey Burney (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41

75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Nicholas Loh (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Jeff Stamm (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48

75:25

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

75:25

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26

55:45

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Levi Rauch (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

77% (10/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (7.7 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

6.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.10
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.18
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.28
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	85%	Loss	✓	0.83	-
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R6	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.35
R7	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.41
R8	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.26
R9	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.66
R10	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R11	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.36
R12	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R13	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.70

Tyler Kearney

57th • 8-4-1

85%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

5.8

Surp

2.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dalton Gomez (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Abigail Welday (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 58:42

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Chesley Hicks (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 74:26

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Adam Columbia (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Scott Weaville (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 74:26

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Michael Lau (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Arthur Mills (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 74:26

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Yifei Wang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Dave Cordeiro (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Daniel Brouillet (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Jeff Stamm (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

85% (11/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (7.6 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.07
R2	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	60%	Draw	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.10
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.37
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.17
R6	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.35
R7	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.23
R8	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R9	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R10	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.54
R11	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R13	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.96

Anthony Vero Cerenzio

56th • 8-5-0

92%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

6.0

Surp

3.4

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alex Broussard (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kyle Thiele (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41

85:15

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Chuck Hutchins (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 83:17

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

20:80

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs brynn nieboer (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jake Warburton (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Andrew Griesser (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Matt Kohls (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Chandler To (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Man Hiem Cheung (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

92% (12/13 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (7.4 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.14
R3	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.18
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.08
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	20%	Win	✗	0.81	1.11
R7	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.23
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R9	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.30
R10	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R11	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R13	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.77

TUCKER CAMPBELL

dropped • 5-2-1

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.2

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Christopher Yunck (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nathanael Hunt (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Sabastian Boyle-Mejia (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jacob Hawkinson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Draw vs Jodey Burney (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Natalie Hunt (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.05
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.36
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.48
R5	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.60
R6	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Draw	✓	0.59	-
R7	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.67
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Colin Marshall

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Adrian Mendez (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Diana Green (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Omeid Vadipour (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tony Mapelli (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

85:15

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Dylan Williamson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 83:17

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Oh Oh (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Hatta Rin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.12
R2	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.23
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.60
R5	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.16
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R7	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Luke Putz

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.7

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Matthew Legesse (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Catherine Powell (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Andrew Mendelsohn (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Merrick Kemp (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ryan Baker (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jason Chua (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.05
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.11
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.16
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.21
R5	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.20

Max Dieckmann

dropped • 5-3-0

25%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.5

Surp

3.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Greg Sutcliffe (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tiger Mckenzie (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 19:81

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Valerio Guercio (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Thaminda Edirisooriya (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ian Smith (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Kaiser Tan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57

20:80

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Isaiah Malana (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 19:81

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

25% (2/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.12
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R3	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.34
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.60
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.90
R7	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R8	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.20

Nathan Crawford

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Michael Murray (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Blum (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 19:81

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Rogue Theory (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 76:24

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jaime Manzano (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs STEVEN HAWKER (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Aria How (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R3	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.15
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.35
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Nitan Avivi-Stuhl

dropped • 5-3-0

62%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nik Katebian (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Barrett Goss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kenneth Thomas (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Steven Leyva (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ed Bracamontes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Taylor Nifong (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Yifei Wang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Rhea Adams (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.13
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.34
R3	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.35
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.48
R6	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.69
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Omeid Vadipour

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Travis Reeder (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kevin Becker (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Colin Marshall (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jodey Burney (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Bryce Stroyek (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Nova Chan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Connor Davenport (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

85:15

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Dylan Williamson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 83:17

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.11
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R5	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.60
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.26

Ryan Baker

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

4.2

Surp

2.5

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Elliot Bicker (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Derek Anderson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Clay DeAngelis (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs David Hamilton (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Eric Lerer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Luke Putz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Ravi Sharma (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	20%	Win	✗	0.81	0.30
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.24
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Edward Knight

dropped • 4-4-0

38%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs John Nguyen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Levi Kujawa-Seda (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 76:24

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Hayley Neighbors (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs MOISES LOPEZ (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Avery Hill (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory

20:80

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Matt MacLeod (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 19:81

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Suryan Bhatia (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Scott Weaville (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 74:26

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.10
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	20%	Win	✗	0.81	1.51
R6	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R8	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.44

Jacob Ricca

dropped • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Will Rea (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Carlos Romero (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 19:81

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tyson Au (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 58:42

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ernesto Rodriguez (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 74:26

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Rolando Matta Jr (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jason Watkins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Alex Hamilton (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Michael Mackney (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R3	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.30
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.22
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.27
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.01
R7	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Joel Grizzelle

dropped • 4-4-0

62%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.8

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Gary Mack (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Edward Kim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Anthony Cicchinelli (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Baker (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs John Tucker (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Taylor Stuhr (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Colin Marshall (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.19
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.34
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.60
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.69
R7	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Marco Marcelli

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jason Nakata (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alexander Benton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Clover Ausdemore (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Hugh Wang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Michael Lau (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Natalie Hunt (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.15
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.11
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.26
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R6	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R8	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

STEVEN HAWKER

dropped • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.4

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jake Warburton (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 74:26

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Arthur Mills (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 74:26

85:15

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Garrett Shustarich (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Dung (Yung) Le (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Derek Chiu (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Tanis Curran (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.05
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.11
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	85%	Loss	✓	0.83	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Simon Miller

dropped • 4-4-0

62%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.7

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Gabriel Marengo (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 58:42

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Frank Boothroyd (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 19:81

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ethan Strickland-Robbins (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Anthony Galleran (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Zoey Gerstner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Angel Benitez (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48

20:80

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Tiger Mckenzie (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 19:81

20:80

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Ryan Brown (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 19:81

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.10
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.38
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.48
R6	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.72
R7	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R8	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-

Will Rea

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

4.2

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jacob Ricca (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tyson Au (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Henry Gomez (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Clay DeAngelis (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Michael Dailey (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Alex Hamilton (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Danton Lima (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.20
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.26
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R8	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Chenjun Liu

dropped • 3-5-0

50%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Gilmartin (Unknown)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew W (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Steven Nemeth (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Chase Reiser (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Greenleaf (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Maxwell Taylor (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Joshua Frailey (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.75
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.62
R8	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Dung (Yung) Le

dropped • 3-5-0

75%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

3.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Travis Wagner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ian Carrico (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Koosha Jahani (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs STEVEN HAWKER (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Michael Mackney (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs nathan lapham (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Mike Morelli (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Lawrence Collins (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.10
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.24
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.43

Hugh Wang

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.2

Surp

0.7

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Evan Silverman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jack Lockwood (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mike Williams (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Dave Lin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jason Chua (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.06
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.27
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.39
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R7	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Robert Trepany

dropped • 1-6-0

71%

Meta

-2.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

0.9

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs David Trinh (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Hatta Rin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Lindenmayer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jeremiah Gardner (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Antonio Barrera (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Lawrence Collins (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R6	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-

David Petry

dropped • 4-2-0

50%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.7

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Todd Kotow (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Parker Pemberton (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Phillip Manwaring (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.20
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.40
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.64
R6	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Andre Ryan See

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Derek Anderson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ovas Siddiqui (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Neil Bautista (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 74:26

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Natalie Hunt (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs peng seng (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 19:81

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Aria How (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.32
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.22
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.51
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Kevin Tran

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.6

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Melissa Rockwell (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 74:26

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Dailey (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Patrick Jones (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ian Daryl Bon (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41

20:80

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ryan Brown (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 19:81

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.07
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.90
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.64
R6	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-

Kyle Schalich

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Justice Yang (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 74:26

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Noah Clark (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Aria How (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Sean Brame (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 74:26

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.07
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.26
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.44

Tanis Curran

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.0

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Wesley Cole (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs yuta maruo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bennett Robinson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Josep Giné (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Isaiah Malana (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 19:81

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs STEVEN HAWKER (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.07
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.14
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.80
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tommy Garnett

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.0

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tim Chambers (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jeff Stamm (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Chilgren (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 19:81

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Davila (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Evan Silverman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jack Lockwood (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.07
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R4	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.61
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.36
R6	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Kyle Foiles

dropped • 2-3-1

50%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.7

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alejandro Cuevas (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Justin Oursler (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alejandro Gonzalez-Lara (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Emmitt Luna (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 19:81

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Britney Thomas (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Wyatt Schmitt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Draw	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.20

Luca Garcia

dropped • 2-3-1

67%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Scott Mackenzie (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Colin Turner (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs brynn nieboer (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 19:81

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Derek Cockrell (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 19:81

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Draw vs Samuel Anthony (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Patrick Steiche (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.23
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Draw	✓	0.74	-
R6	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.92

Cory Schmitt

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jaime Manzano (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alek Idol (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs David Ballesteros (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 74:26

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Wyatt Schmitt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs jordan johnson (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Joshua Frailey (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.22
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.80
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Guilherme Perego

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Connor Davenport (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bryce Morgan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hatta Rin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lucas Izumi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jackson Klingbeil (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Greg Sutcliffe (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.61
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Todd Kotow

dropped • 2-4-0

17%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.6

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Shimon Bandiel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Andrea Biaggi (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs David Petry (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Brown (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 19:81

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Justin Evans (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 19:81

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jordan Brengartner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.20
R2	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.40
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Brian Tadros

dropped • 1-5-0

100%

Meta

-2.6

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

85:15

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Teoh Juwern (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 83:17

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Abarca (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Yunck (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Edward Kim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jeremy Pennington (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Maldonado (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.04
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Olympia, Prized Fighter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Dalton Cameron

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.1

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Matt Jacobs (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41

85:15

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Miranda (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 83:17

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Anthony DT Zichella (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Tiu (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Isaac Brooks (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.11
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R5	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Hayley Neighbors

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Philippe Thai (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Vance Jones (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Edward Knight (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Garrett Johnson (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.46
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-

Michael Murray

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mike Sullivan (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs CODY READY (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.60
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Rob Harechmak

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Brian Gutierrez (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Greenleaf (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Levi Rauch (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Alexandre Lefebvre (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.23
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.