Bravo, Showstopper
21 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 6-3-0
44%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
4.5
Surp
4.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yifei Wang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joe Levering (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 30:70
Round 3: Win vs Luis Robles (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alan Chavarin (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Talon Stradley (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kent Summerour (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs CLARK Moore (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Eric Holmes (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kyle Yoder (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mike Morelli (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 23:77
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Scott Weaville (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Win vs Alejandro Gonzalez-Lara (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Phillip Jeon (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Brian Moss (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Gabriel Marengo (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-1
38%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.1
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yazan Masad (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 23:77
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Kyle Foiles (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tanner Young (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Austin Kim (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Nick Yaksich (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Justin Fryar (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matt Kohls (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
Round 8: Loss vs Alex Hamilton (Dash I/O) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Draw |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Dietz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rob Catton (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Flavin (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Joe Santianna (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Taylor Morrow (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Roger Bodee (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Peter Beck (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.1
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Blum (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 23:77
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hayley Neighbors (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kyle Andrews (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mark Chamberlain (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Shereena Decano (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
Round 6: Win vs Andrea Biaggi (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alek Idol (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Christopher Higashi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 3: Win vs Dexter Canright (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jayson Galindo (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tyler McIntyre (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Connor Davenport (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs James Mangles (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Albarado (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Colin Marshall (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Francisco Leiva Espanhol (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 35:65
Round 4: Win vs Andrea Biaggi (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Maxwell Taylor (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs brynn nieboer (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 23:77
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Carson Elliott (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Johnny Wedzicha (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Parker Pemberton (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Henry Gomez (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jeremy Pennington (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
17%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sjohn Chambers (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Biggs (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Thorington (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 23:77
Round 4: Win vs Peter Desautels (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jason Dhami (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 30:70
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Chase Reiser (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jonny Espejo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs John Tucker (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 30:70
Round 4: Win vs Adam Little (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dale Mushinski (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Hamilton (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adrian Malana (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 23:77
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Felipe Costa Batista (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Rudin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Blake Meier (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Richard Smith (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ed Bracamontes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Sean Brame (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Biggs (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Draw |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alan Chavarin (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Timothy Scroggs (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yazan Masad (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 23:77
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs nathan lapham (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Frank Boothroyd (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 23:77
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michel Corvino (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Joachim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tommy Garnett (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Austin Kim (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Scott Mackenzie (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gaston Zagursky (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Brouillet (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jake Wenger (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Vance Jones (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Izumi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 30:70
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Elly Bird (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andy Julkowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
0.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rob Harechmak (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Wilson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (0.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 30:70
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Steven Nemeth (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jimmy Bui (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Greg Sutcliffe (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-0-0
100%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Josh Tran (Unknown)
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.