Katsu, the Wanderer
39 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 11-3-0
57%
Meta
+4.0
Perf
6.6
Surp
6.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chris Legg (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chad Bortz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Holmes (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Hamilton (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew W (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Chris Martin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bryce Morgan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Luke Manship (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Mark Boothroyd (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Noah Clark (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36
Round 11: Win vs Luke Magnuson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Liam Holden (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
57% (8/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
6.6 total deviation
Difficulty
6.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
17th • 10-3-0
69%
Meta
+3.4
Perf
6.0
Surp
5.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matt Kohls (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyler McIntyre (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Angel Fernandez (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs John Zapata (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Wyatt Goehring (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sebastian Anaya (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Taylor Nifong (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
Round 9: Win vs Rhea Adams (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 10: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Man Hiem Cheung (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Brandon Abarca (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
40th • 9-4-0
77%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
5.9
Surp
4.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jesus Montijo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Philippe Thai (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
Round 3: Loss vs Brandon Abarca (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chard Tan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Frank Boothroyd (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jeff Stamm (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ethan Strickland-Robbins (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
20:80
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Nova Chan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Andrew Griesser (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
20:80
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Richard Yanke (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Michael Dailey (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Hatta Rin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
77% (10/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R10 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R12 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
42nd • 8-5-0
38%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
6.7
Surp
5.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Isaac Brooks (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Trinh (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Keating (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luke Putz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bryce Morgan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Win vs Will Rea (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
Round 8: Win vs Douglas Shima (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Anthony Pham (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
Round 10: Win vs Richard Yanke (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Eric Lerer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Bryan Hefner (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Matthew W (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
38% (5/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.7 total deviation
Difficulty
5.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
43rd • 8-5-0
69%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
6.0
Surp
3.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gaston Zagursky (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Luke Putz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rob Linn (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Evan Dyck (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Liam Holden (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nicholas Tagg (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Phillip Manwaring (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Sebastian Anaya (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Yifei Wang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Arthur Mills (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Chandler To (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
47th • 8-5-0
77%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
6.2
Surp
3.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kal Dschaak (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Mackney (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ian Fraser (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bennett Robinson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Eric Lee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ethan Strickland-Robbins (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Michael Dailey (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Eric Lerer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Zach Bunn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Miles Slack (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
20:80
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Arthur Mills (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
77% (10/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
59th • 8-5-0
54%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
6.2
Surp
4.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Garrett Johnson (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Fouk (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Elliot Sloane (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sjohn Chambers (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brian Moss (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36
Round 6: Win vs Jesus Cuevas (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Merrick Kemp (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Matthew W (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
20:80
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Dave Cordeiro (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Bennett Robinson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Kenneth Thomas (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
54% (7/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R10 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
62nd • 7-6-0
54%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
6.8
Surp
3.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Phillip martinez (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
Round 2: Win vs Kevin Tran (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Bird (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80
Round 5: Win vs Will Rea (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kamil Rejman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Dave Lin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Eric Lerer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Arthur Mills (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Philippe Thai (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
54% (7/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.6
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jayson Galindo (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36
Round 3: Win vs Brian Tadros (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Troy Wilson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nova Chan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Josef Mendez (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jason Chua (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Taylor Stuhr (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36
Round 2: Win vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alejandro Cuevas (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs nicolas Jamoulle (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kamil Rejman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kenneth Thomas (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R8 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Long Dao (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Danton Lima (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Roger Bodee (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 54:46
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Isaac Brooks (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 69:31
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jonathan Oshiro (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Eli Teed (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dawson Gilbert (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Bryce Platz (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eric Lin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Norah Porter (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Greg Sutcliffe (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Taylor Stuhr (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alexander Vore (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Josep Giné (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs David Trinh (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Miles Slack (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs James Mangles (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chandler To (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Catherine Powell (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bea Budnik (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ian E Wright (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs AUSTIN BRILL (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Richard Yanke (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Justin Addington (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kamil Rejman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joe Bartolick (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Angel Benitez (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joshua Rath (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Arthur Mills (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matt MacLeod (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51
Round 8: Loss vs Matt Kohls (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-1
50%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Taylor Stuhr (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Brown (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51
Round 3: Loss vs Connar Bodoh (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Maldonado (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brandon Lenshyn (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Billal Mahmoud (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
Round 7: Win vs Robert Trepany (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Dung (Yung) Le (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Draw |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs roque flores (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Mound (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mychael Gochee (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matt MacLeod (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs nathan lapham (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Elliott Sisterson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Mendelsohn (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kenny Cole (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joe DeCaussin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zeni Ragsdale (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Dyck (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Elliot Bicker (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joey Boily (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jon Steelsmith (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zeni Ragsdale (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luke Putz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Loh (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Phillip Jeon (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 24:76
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kenny Cole (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ian Carrico (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Rafał Liwerski (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joe Levering (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Higashi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jesus Cuevas (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Miles Slack (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Vivek Elashoff (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joe Levering (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eric Holmes (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80
Round 6: Loss vs Dylan Williamson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Mackney (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Dietz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Emery Powell (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Trenton McBride (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brad Betschart (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hatta Rin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Roark (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Melissa Rockwell (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ethan Strickland-Robbins (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
Round 5: Win vs Carlo Cuenca (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Loh (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.4
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tanis Curran (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jake Wenger (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Shelly (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Dietz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Win vs Tim Perlewitz (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Levi Rauch (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Billal Mahmoud (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mikko Pena (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34
Round 3: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tiger Mckenzie (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51
Round 5: Win vs Cory Schmitt (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joshua Hemmert (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Blake Alvey (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tanis Curran (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tony Mapelli (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Phillip martinez (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Jamieson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ryan Mound (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs JP Coleman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Bader (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Miller (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan Walker (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
Round 5: Win vs Robert Trepany (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dietrich Goodwin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-1
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Levi Kujawa-Seda (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Lee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs John Nguyen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Hemmert (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Luca Garcia (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mike Morelli (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Draw |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs SEAN STELL (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luke Gilmore (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 38:62
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ben Rojas (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Ricca (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Avery Hill (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alex Broussard (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rolando Matta Jr (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tommy Garnett (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cas Mulder (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Sitrick (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Maxwell Taylor (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jeremiah Gardner (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adrian Mendez (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs James Chang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Lindenmayer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs MOISES LOPEZ (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Tagg (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joe Levering (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aidan Kwasneski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Antony Benedetti (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Talon Stradley (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Patrick Steiche (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-1-0
33%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
1.7
Surp
3.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gaston Zagursky (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ricardo Rua (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Win vs Chenjun Liu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (1.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs John Dinh (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cheaman Buckwalter (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maxwell Taylor (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs John Abanto (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Oliver Phi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dan Mui (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joe Santianna (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Long Dao (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Rudin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Justin Fryar (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs noah zubeidi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Addington (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Loss vs Man Hiem Cheung (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.