Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn at Calling: Los Angeles
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
14 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
24th • 9-4-0
69%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
6.7
Surp
5.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kenneth Thomas (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Travis Reeder (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Win vs Liam Donnelly (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs randy lavoie (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Adam Columbia (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Oren Yishai (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Isaiah Malana (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50
Round 9: Win vs Matt Jacobs (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Wesley Dong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Round 13: Loss vs Dave Lin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.7 total deviation
Difficulty
5.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 20% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Tyler (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dylan Sieren (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 19:81
Round 4: Win vs Carlos Samaniego (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Mendelsohn (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Evan Herndon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Joshua Rath (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Levi Rauch (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Danton Lima (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ian E Wright (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jason Nakata (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Chang (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Win vs Darnell Akers (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Neil Bautista (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 19:81
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 20% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 20% | Loss |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Logan Petersen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Loss vs Stephen Henry (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adrian Mendez (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adrian Gebhart (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Vince Rothman (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jacob Bader (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
Round 7: Win vs Carlos Samaniego (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Cas Mulder (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Dyck (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wyatt Schmitt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Brown (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Tavres (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Antonio Otero (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Bryce Platz (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Donaldson (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Hood (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mark Boothroyd (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alex Chang (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tony Mapelli (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tyler Horspool (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 19:81
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jesus Montijo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Snyder (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mike Morelli (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Luca Garcia (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Blake Meier (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ynez Nevarez (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tony Mapelli (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chandler To (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs James Chang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Henry Gomez (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Dietz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tanner Young (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 58:42
Round 2: Loss vs Miles Slack (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Suryan Bhatia (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Round 4: Loss vs David Trinh (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs yuta maruo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 39:61
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jake Wenger (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Carlos Samaniego (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 39:61
Round 2: Loss vs Dietrich Goodwin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Garrett Johnson (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chris Mintz (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Catherine Powell (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Noah Clark (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 19:81
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Rothhaar (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 3: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Aaron Murphy (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matt Garner (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Reynold Lam (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dalton Gomez (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gabriel Marengo (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.