Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.8
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs brynn nieboer (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 28:72
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Axel Sisbarro (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 63:37
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jon Cardenas (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Anthony DT Zichella (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bryan De La Torre (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Carlos Samaniego (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nicholas Jackson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kamil Rejman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-1
50%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Anthony (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Edward Knight (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 21:79
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Jeff Rietman (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Anthony Campbell (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jayson Jacks (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nathanael Hunt (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lucas Izumi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 63:37
Round 8: Win vs michael mills (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 35% | Draw |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Soya Okuda (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sabastian Boyle-Mejia (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 21:79
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jayson Jacks (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alejandro Cuevas (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
Round 6: Win vs Aidan Kwasneski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Anthony DT Zichella (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Merrick Kemp (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lance Buan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Snyder (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Billal Mahmoud (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mark Boothroyd (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andy Julkowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matthew Greenleaf (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ian Carrico (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jon Cardenas (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Andy Portillo (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ynez Nevarez (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 42:58
Round 5: Loss vs James Cooperider (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.