Prism, Awakener of Sol
16 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
27th • 9-4-0
46%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.3
Surp
4.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs William Garcia (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mark Chamberlain (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ian Carrico (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 40:60
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Melissa Rockwell (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Chuck Hutchins (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 73:27
Round 6: Win vs Tyler Horspool (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Travis Woodward (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
85:15
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jonathan Fouk (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Man Hiem Cheung (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Roger Bodee (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Bryan De La Torre (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35
Round 12: Win vs Anthony DT Zichella (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
25:75
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Eric Lerer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R9 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
44th • 8-5-0
46%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
5.8
Surp
3.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bryant Siders (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Tagg (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jodey Burney (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chris Martin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 49:51
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Thorington (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs yuta maruo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Joshua Hemmert (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Taylor Stuhr (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Kaiser Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Michael Lau (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Brandon Abarca (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
53rd • 8-5-0
38%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
5.7
Surp
3.7
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adrian Malana (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aidan Kwasneski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tim Perlewitz (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35
Round 4: Win vs Yifei Wang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brandon Abarca (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kenneth Thomas (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 35:65
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Juan Chacon (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Nitan Avivi-Stuhl (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Round 9: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Chandler To (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Taylor Stuhr (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Clover Ausdemore (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Daniel Flavin (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
38% (5/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.9
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Menjivar (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nitan Avivi-Stuhl (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Travis Wagner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Angel Fernandez (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Aria How (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Zach Bunn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 22:78
Round 7: Win vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Philippe Thai (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs francisco guerrero (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matt MacLeod (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Vore (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Flavin (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 35:65
Round 5: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs nicolas Jamoulle (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nova Chan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Round 8: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.5
Surp
2.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Samed Demir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyler Dschaak (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Ian Carrico (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alan Valdez (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 62:38
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Griesser (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 7: Win vs Jack Lockwood (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Zach Bunn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chard Tan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Emery Powell (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 62:38
Round 3: Win vs Chad Bortz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs John Abanto (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 49:51
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matt MacLeod (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matt Kohls (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Evan Bridges (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Man Hiem Cheung (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
25%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Richard Yanke (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Justin Addington (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Shreve (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cas Mulder (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lance Buan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Todd Kotow (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Luke Gilmore (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 22:78
Round 8: Win vs Blake Meier (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R8 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-2-1
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kent Summerour (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Rudin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Bruno Carvalho (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Samuel Anthony (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 62:38
Round 5: Win vs Thor Hoffman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs jordan johnson (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ryan Mound (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Draw |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-1
57%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
3.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs jordan johnson (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Frailey (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Elliott Sisterson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Talon Stradley (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 57:43
Round 5: Loss vs Sean Brame (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Lawrence Collins (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 62:38
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Dietrich Goodwin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Draw |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
17%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Thomas Hood (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jared Wyce (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 49:51
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Merrick Kemp (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 35:65
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Ricca (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs John Cooper (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Hemmert (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Terrazas-Haywod (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jeffrey Tracy (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Snyder (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 62:38
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shaun Simmons-Nash (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jeff Okrasinski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Fryar (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Flores (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Ballesteros (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
Round 3: Loss vs Jorge Ecute (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andy Julkowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Izumi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ethan Strickland-Robbins (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Talon Stradley (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tristan Mitchell (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 40:60
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Legesse (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 22:78
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jordan Brengartner (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Hawkinson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Colin Turner (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Tran (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.