Viserai, Rune Blood
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 6-4-0
90%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dyllon Dietz (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yifei Wang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luke Gilmore (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eric Wilson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Evan Herndon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Barrett Goss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Noah Clark (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
80:20
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jesus Cuevas (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
90% (9/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Phillip Manwaring (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aaron Murphy (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 60:40
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Darnell Akers (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tyler Brotton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 31:69
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Eric Towne (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29
Round 7: Loss vs Evan Dyck (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Paul A Wright (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Loss |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-1
100%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
4.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Joel Recinos III (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nathan Nichols (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Loss vs Jared Wyce (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chase Reiser (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Edward Kim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29
Round 6: Loss vs Johnny Wedzicha (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Thor Hoffman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
Round 8: Loss vs Levi Kujawa-Seda (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (5.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Draw |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.1
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shawn Reed (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 58:42
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 31:69
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dalton Cameron (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 68:32
Round 6: Win vs Emmitt Luna (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.