Kassai of the Golden Sand
35 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 15-1-0
75%
Meta
+6.5
Perf
7.1
Surp
7.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ricardo Rua (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 70:30
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Evan Herndon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chuck Hutchins (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chandler To (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Clay DeAngelis (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Daniel Johnson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Brandon Abarca (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Dave Lin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Yifei Wang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Yifei Wang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Eric Lerer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
Round 16: Win vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Meta Fit
75% (12/16 favorable matchups)
Performance
+6.5 Wins (8.5 expected, 15 actual)
Surprise
7.1 total deviation
Difficulty
7.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R15 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R16 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Win |
5th • 11-3-0
50%
Meta
+4.4
Perf
7.2
Surp
6.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Paul Selinske (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alan Valdez (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Win vs Alex Knott (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Timothy Scroggs (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Wyatt Goehring (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ravi Sharma (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jeff Stamm (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 72:28
Round 9: Win vs Lucas Ng (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Round 10: Win vs Jeremy Chen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Round 11: Win vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Oh Oh (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Nova Chan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (7/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
7.2 total deviation
Difficulty
6.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Win |
| R10 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Win |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R14 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
26th • 9-4-0
62%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
5.7
Surp
4.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Sitrick (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Angel Fernandez (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rob Harechmak (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dylan Williamson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ian Fraser (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 72:28
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Wesley Cole (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Justice Yang (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Evan Dyck (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Chandler To (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Michael Lau (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Richard Yanke (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Oh Oh (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
58th • 8-5-0
69%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
6.7
Surp
4.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chase Reiser (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bryce Platz (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 72:28
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joe DeCaussin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Win vs Frank Boothroyd (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Garrett Shustarich (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 52:48
Round 6: Loss vs Ethan Strickland-Robbins (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Johnny Wedzicha (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Wyatt Goehring (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 52:48
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Noah Clark (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Philippe Thai (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58
Round 11: Loss vs Daniel Flavin (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 12: Loss vs Hatta Rin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Taylor Stuhr (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
| R13 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brad Betschart (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dave Lin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrea Biaggi (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Mound (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tyler Horspool (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kyle Yoder (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Oh Oh (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.8
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zach Bunn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 29:71
Round 2: Loss vs Angel Benitez (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Gary Mack (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Robert Mills (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Shreve (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs John Dinh (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 72:28
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Reynold Lam (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 70:30
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Suryan Bhatia (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dan Mui (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adam Columbia (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tyler Dschaak (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dung (Yung) Le (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Round 6: Loss vs Bryce Platz (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Justin Bathgate (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jacob Ricca (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Tiu (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Bader (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Broussard (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Oh Oh (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Franche Tan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Michael Lau (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brishen Jaimes (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Columbia (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Wesley Dong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kamil Rejman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Keating (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nitan Avivi-Stuhl (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Logan Petersen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-1
75%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Aaron Albright (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Avery Hill (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Martinez (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Connar Bodoh (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sean Bergmann (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lucas Izumi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs randy lavoie (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jesus Montijo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Bryce Morgan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tanner Young (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyler McIntyre (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 70:30
Round 4: Win vs Justin Evans (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Joshua Frailey (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Travis Woodward (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jon Steelsmith (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jason Chua (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Win vs Patrick Ovaert (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brandon Abarca (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Miles Slack (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Noah Clark (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Taylor Nifong (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Aaron Blum (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dietrich Goodwin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49
Round 3: Win vs michael mills (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jaime Manzano (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joe Levering (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Christopher Stidger (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Rafał Liwerski (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs TORRIN RODRIGUEZ (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Garrett Shustarich (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Bathgate (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Guilherme Perego (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gregory Cole (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jason Dhami (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Levi Kujawa-Seda (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 37:63
Round 8: Win vs Jonathan Oshiro (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alek Idol (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 72:28
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Connor Davenport (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Samed Demir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Bruno Carvalho (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alan Valdez (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mark Boothroyd (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 70:30
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Benton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mychael Gochee (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Donovan Kormish (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jared Wyce (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eric Lee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Burger (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Robert Trepany (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tim Chambers (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Angel Fernandez (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sean Brame (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Austin Kim (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan Fouk (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jimmy Bui (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 70:30
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs CODY READY (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Samed Demir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eric Holmes (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Antonio Barrera (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rafael Salsa (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Raj Giri (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christopher Maldonado (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 72:28
Round 6: Loss vs Jon Steelsmith (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nova Chan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs nathan lapham (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brian Tadros (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs michael mills (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs El Baramallo (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tim Perlewitz (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joe Santianna (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jackson Klingbeil (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
Round 5: Win vs Matt Garner (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 35% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Emery Powell (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ian Smith (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexandre Lefebvre (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Oliver Phi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Aidan Kwasneski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kaiser Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Justin Fryar (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hugh Wang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Jackson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs noah zubeidi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs John Zapata (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luis Robles (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Blake Meier (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 72:28
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joe Santianna (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mychael Gochee (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs sean Burke (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 72:28
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Lau (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brad Betschart (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
Round 5: Loss vs Greg Sutcliffe (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
0%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Phillip Jeon (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Natalie Hunt (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs AUSTIN BRILL (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrea Biaggi (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bryan De La Torre (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Win vs Blake Alvey (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs Nik Katebian (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Omeid Vadipour (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Round 2: Loss vs Roger Bodee (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Frailey (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brandon Lenshyn (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 52:48
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Travis Wagner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-2
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Jason Dhami (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Gabriel Marengo (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ovas Siddiqui (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 72:28
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adrian Malana (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Draw |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexandre Lefebvre (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs peng seng (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Antonio Otero (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jackson Klingbeil (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Darnell Akers (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Stidger (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
Round 4: Loss vs Kenny Cole (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-1
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs michael mills (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vivek Elashoff (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs jaime bessett (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 30% | Draw |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joey Boily (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 37:63
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Grant Strom (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs James Cooperider (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs CLARK Moore (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
0.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Knott (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (0.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.