Fai, Rising Rebellion at Calling: Los Angeles
Fai, Rising Rebellion
13 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
14th • 10-3-0
46%
Meta
+4.7
Perf
6.5
Surp
6.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jake Wenger (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Izumi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Win vs STEVEN HAWKER (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Richard Yanke (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Flavin (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matthew W (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 25:75
Round 9: Win vs Clover Ausdemore (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Nova Chan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Taylor Morrow (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 61:39
Round 13: Win vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
6.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Loss |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 34:66
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs James Chang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patrick Steiche (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 61:39
Round 4: Win vs Randy May (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs William Garcia (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Gabriel Marengo (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 60:40
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jonathan Fouk (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 25:75
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jason Dhami (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anthony Campbell (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 60:40
Round 2: Win vs Derek Chiu (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kaiser Tan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 34:66
Round 7: Win vs Peter Beck (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kyle McKeough (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Grant Strom (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cheaman Buckwalter (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 61:39
Round 5: Win vs Tristan Mitchell (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Brishen Jaimes (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Round 7: Loss vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Matthew Greenleaf (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
25%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zoey Gerstner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Win vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Levi Rauch (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Colin Marshall (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
Round 6: Win vs Alexander Benton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Christopher Menjivar (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Omeid Vadipour (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
0%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.9
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Peter Beck (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73
Round 2: Win vs Jordyn Denver (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Legesse (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Yunck (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 34:66
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Tiu (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Anthony DT Zichella (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs John Zapata (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs nathan lapham (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
0% (0/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Maxwell Taylor (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs jordan johnson (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mark Smith (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bruno Carvalho (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
17%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dalton Cameron (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Anthony Campbell (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 60:40
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Elliot Bicker (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 25:75
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Frailey (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs roque flores (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicolas Bouffard (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Win vs brynn nieboer (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chase Musselman (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 60:40
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Lerer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Angel Benitez (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
Round 4: Win vs Derek Anderson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joe Levering (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brian Tadros (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Randall Sims (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Aidan Kwasneski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46
Round 5: Loss vs Tyler Dschaak (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
40%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Phillip Manwaring (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Neet (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Emmitt Luna (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 25:75
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Travis Reeder (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lawrence Collins (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brad Betschart (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Tagg (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dawson Gilbert (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.