Fai, Rising Rebellion at Calling: Los Angeles
Fai, Rising Rebellion
13 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
14th • 10-3-0
31%
Meta
+5.6
Perf
6.4
Surp
6.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jake Wenger (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Izumi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Win vs STEVEN HAWKER (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Richard Yanke (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Flavin (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matthew W (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
10:90
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 9:91
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Clover Ausdemore (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
15:85
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83
15:85
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Nova Chan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Taylor Morrow (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 13: Win vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
Meta Fit
31% (4/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+5.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.4 total deviation
Difficulty
6.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 10% | Loss |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.0
Surp
3.2
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 27:73
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs James Chang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patrick Steiche (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Randy May (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs William Garcia (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Gabriel Marengo (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 64:36
10:90
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jonathan Fouk (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 9:91
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jason Dhami (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 10% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
25%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anthony Campbell (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 64:36
Round 2: Win vs Derek Chiu (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kaiser Tan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 27:73
Round 7: Win vs Peter Beck (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kyle McKeough (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Grant Strom (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cheaman Buckwalter (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 5: Win vs Tristan Mitchell (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Brishen Jaimes (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
Round 7: Loss vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Matthew Greenleaf (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
25%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zoey Gerstner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Win vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Levi Rauch (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Colin Marshall (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83
Round 6: Win vs Alexander Benton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Christopher Menjivar (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62
15:85
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Omeid Vadipour (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
12%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.7
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Peter Beck (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77
Round 2: Win vs Jordyn Denver (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Legesse (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Yunck (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 27:73
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Tiu (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Anthony DT Zichella (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77
Round 7: Win vs John Zapata (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs nathan lapham (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77
Meta Fit
12% (1/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maxwell Taylor (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs jordan johnson (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 27:73
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mark Smith (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bruno Carvalho (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
17%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dalton Cameron (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Anthony Campbell (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 64:36
10:90
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Elliot Bicker (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 9:91
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Frailey (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs roque flores (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 10% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicolas Bouffard (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Win vs brynn nieboer (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 9:91, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 10% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chase Musselman (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 64:36
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Lerer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Angel Benitez (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 36:64
Round 4: Win vs Derek Anderson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joe Levering (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brian Tadros (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Randall Sims (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Aidan Kwasneski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
Round 5: Loss vs Tyler Dschaak (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
20%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Phillip Manwaring (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Neet (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
10:90
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Emmitt Luna (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 9:91
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Travis Reeder (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lawrence Collins (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 10% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 36:64
Round 2: Win vs Brad Betschart (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Tagg (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dawson Gilbert (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.