Dromai, Ash Artist
58 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
13th • 10-3-0
77%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
5.4
Surp
4.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bryce Platz (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Randall Sims (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Colin Eriksen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 73:27
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Vivek Elashoff (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Marco Marcelli (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 73:27
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Daniel Johnson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Levi Rauch (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 73:27
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Ryan Mound (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Eric Lerer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Matt Kohls (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
77% (10/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (7.2 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
15th • 10-3-0
92%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
6.1
Surp
4.3
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 79:21
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mark Smith (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs jordan johnson (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aria How (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Flavin (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Taylor Morrow (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 79:21
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Bennett Robinson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Matthew W (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 64:36
Round 10: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Liam Holden (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ryan Mound (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Daniel Johnson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
92% (12/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (7.5 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Loss |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
31st • 9-3-1
77%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
6.8
Surp
4.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shaun Simmons-Nash (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thor Hoffman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Evan Dyck (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 81:19
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tyler Horspool (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marco Marcelli (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Johnson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Eric Lerer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Round 9: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Aria How (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
Round 12: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Bennett Robinson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
77% (10/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (7.1 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Draw |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 80% | Loss |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
22nd • 9-4-0
77%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
6.3
Surp
4.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ian Daryl Bon (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Vince Rothman (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tony Mapelli (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Oliver Phi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Justin Oursler (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
Round 8: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Tiger Mckenzie (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Brandon Abarca (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Yifei Wang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Michael Lau (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
77% (10/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
35th • 9-4-0
85%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
5.0
Surp
3.0
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cheaman Buckwalter (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 81:19
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kyle Schalich (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michel Corvino (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aaron Blum (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Paul A Wright (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Logan Petersen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 73:27
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Zach Bunn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Dave Lin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
75:25
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 73:27
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Kyle Yoder (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Kenneth Thomas (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Daniel Johnson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
80:20
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Taylor Morrow (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 79:21
Meta Fit
85% (11/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (7.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Win |
| R10 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Huntsman | 80% | Win |
49th • 8-5-0
85%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
7.0
Surp
3.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mark Chamberlain (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matt Jacobs (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Danton Lima (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs James Mangles (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christopher Menjivar (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Clay DeAngelis (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
Round 7: Win vs Ravi Sharma (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Clover Ausdemore (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Dave Cordeiro (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Tyler Kearney (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Round 13: Loss vs Bryan De La Torre (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
Meta Fit
85% (11/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
7.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Huntsman | 80% | Loss |
65th • 7-6-0
77%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
6.6
Surp
2.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Francisco Leiva Espanhol (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Bannigan (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stephen Henry (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Tagg (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Arthur Mills (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Scott Weaville (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Danton Lima (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Oliver Phi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Rob Catton (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64
Round 12: Loss vs Tiger Mckenzie (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
77% (10/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 6-5-0
82%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
5.6
Surp
2.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dalton Cameron (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Brouillet (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Raj Giri (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zoey Gerstner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christopher Dietz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dave Lin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Round 7: Win vs Jacob Hawkinson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
80:20
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 80:20
Round 9: Loss vs Roger Bodee (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Derek Chiu (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 80% | Win |
| R9 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Loss |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 6-4-0
100%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.8
Surp
2.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs noah zubeidi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Oren Yishai (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brian Moss (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bryant Siders (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bea Budnik (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brandon Flores (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Joe DeCaussin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Connor Davenport (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Man Hiem Cheung (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (10/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Lorenz (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Malave (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs randy lavoie (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alex Hamilton (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ryan Mound (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.2
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Patrick Steiche (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 81:19
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 80:20
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs John Zapata (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Long Dao (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Richard Yanke (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Dave Cordeiro (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Kaiser Tan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chase Reiser (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Murray (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tyler Biggs (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 73:27
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bryce Morgan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Christopher Tagg (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Christopher Stidger (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Steven Leyva (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
Round 3: Win vs Lawrence Collins (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jason Dhami (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 73:27
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Biggs (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Luke Gilmore (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nik Katebian (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Yazan Masad (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jimmy Bui (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yifei Wang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Chilgren (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nitan Avivi-Stuhl (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Keating (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
Round 7: Loss vs Clay DeAngelis (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs peng seng (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Ian E Wright (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Juan Chacon (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs John Nguyen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Luke Manship (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Yunck (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Hugh Wang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
80:20
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Adam Roark (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 81:19
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hollis Eacho (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Josep Giné (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Evan Silverman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 80:20
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Josef Mendez (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Taylor Stuhr (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Dave Lin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kyle Yoder (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rafał Liwerski (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ian Fraser (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hunter Pemberton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 73:27
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Emmitt Luna (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Zachary Wallach (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Marco Marcelli (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joe Bartolick (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Justin Evans (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 64:36
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Horspool (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Ian Fraser (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jeff Stamm (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Stephen Henry (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Paul A Wright (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Lenshyn (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 48:52
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Rath (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sjohn Chambers (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Miles Slack (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ravi Sharma (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs David Petry (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Flavin (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Andrew Mendelsohn (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Rolando Matta Jr (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Taylor Stuhr (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 64:36
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Merrick Kemp (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Menjivar (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Angel Fernandez (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Christopher Stidger (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Loss vs Chandler To (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Frank Boothroyd (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Shreve (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bryan Hefner (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 80:20
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Hamilton (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 79:21
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64
Round 5: Win vs Lucas Korner (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Douglas Shima (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 54:46
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Adam Roark (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 81:19
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Roper (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 79:21
Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Ovaert (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hunter Pemberton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 73:27
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Miller (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ynez Nevarez (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 80:20
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nicholas Loh (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Thor Hoffman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (4.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thor Hoffman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Travis Wagner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chris Mintz (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 73:27
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 79:21
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yazan Masad (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs SEAN STELL (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jared Wyce (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs CODY READY (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (4.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs peng seng (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jose Alves (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Loss vs Johnny Wedzicha (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sadat Minick (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 48:52
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Garrett Johnson (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs MOISES LOPEZ (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Franche Tan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dung (Yung) Le (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Stidger (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Thorington (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Travis Reeder (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 73:27
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Randy May (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tristan Mitchell (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jonathan Walker (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-6-0
75%
Meta
-2.4
Perf
4.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Emmitt Luna (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ravi Sharma (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jeremiah Oldes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Travis Watkins (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64
Round 6: Loss vs Yazan Masad (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 7: Loss vs Carlos Romero (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 8: Loss vs Lucas Izumi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-1
29%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs sean Burke (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Malave (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Mound (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Omeid Vadipour (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs TUCKER CAMPBELL (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Richard Yanke (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Draw |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robert Mills (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 73:27
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kenneth Thomas (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Franche Tan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shereena Decano (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Patrick Ovaert (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Christopher Higashi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jorge Ecute (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-1
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shereena Decano (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs JP Coleman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Reynold Lam (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Danton Lima (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs David Petry (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Richard Yanke (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Round 7: Loss vs Aidan Kwasneski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Draw |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Arthur Mills (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Joachim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rob Catton (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joshua Bird (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 80:20
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Griesser (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64
Round 6: Loss vs Philippe Thai (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Eli Teed (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alejandro Gonzalez-Lara (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jodey Burney (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jack Lockwood (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Chesley Hicks (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tristan Mitchell (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Eric Lin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Franche Tan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alejandro Cuevas (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matt Jacobs (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Bader (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 73:27
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Neil Bautista (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs David Joachim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sean Brame (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kyle Thiele (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 73:27
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Francisco Leiva Espanhol (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 64:36
Round 3: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Hawkinson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Adrian Malana (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lucas Korner (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Clover Ausdemore (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexandre Lefebvre (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Paul Selinske (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Simon Miller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs francisco guerrero (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Carlo Cuenca (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 79:21
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 80% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ed Bracamontes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Paul Selinske (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jackson Klingbeil (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kyle Schalich (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Clover Ausdemore (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Oren Yishai (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Garrett Shustarich (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wesley Cole (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mark Chamberlain (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Samed Demir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Shimon Bandiel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matthew Jamieson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 81:19
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Luke Gilmore (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Clover Ausdemore (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Oshiro (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Round 5: Loss vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ryan Miller (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 80% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Taran Alvey (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Holmes (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Menjivar (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chenjun Liu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Rudin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Natalie Hunt (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
100%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Parker Pemberton (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zeni Ragsdale (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kal Dschaak (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Vance Jones (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs David Ballesteros (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Derek Chiu (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chris Mintz (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 73:27
Round 3: Win vs Alec Myers (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 5: Loss vs Adam Roark (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Murphy (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Axel Sisbarro (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 73:27
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Abigail Welday (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 80:20
Round 5: Loss vs Aaron Blum (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Keating (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matt Kohls (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Shawn Reed (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Tran (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bennett Robinson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Round 2: Loss vs Nik Katebian (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jeremiah Gardner (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 73:27
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Justin Addington (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 79:21
Round 5: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Korner (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eric Lin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bryce Morgan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Mendelsohn (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Elliott Sisterson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dylan Williamson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 48:52
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Albarado (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Antonio Otero (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matt Jacobs (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Simon Miller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Yunck (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hollis Eacho (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dale Mushinski (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 80% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matt Garner (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joey Boily (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jeremy Pennington (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mikko Pena (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 48:52
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hongkai Guo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Paul A Wright (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rafał Liwerski (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Stephen Henry (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Becker (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Davila (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Noah Clark (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Suryan Bhatia (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 80% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Xavier Hines (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jaime Manzano (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dan Mui (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs yuta maruo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chesley Hicks (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Loss vs Robert Mills (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Felipe Costa Batista (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Koppean (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Xavier Hines (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Brotton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Catherine Powell (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shereena Decano (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Carlos Samaniego (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kyle Yoder (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs James Mangles (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justice Yang (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elliott Sisterson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chuck Hutchins (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nick Gabler (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rogue Theory (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.