Kano, Dracai of Aether
33 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 13-3-0
94%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
6.9
Surp
4.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andy Julkowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eli Teed (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tiger Mckenzie (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Evan Bridges (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luke Magnuson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Merrick Kemp (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Anthony Pham (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Garrett Shustarich (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Matthew Dilks (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Yifei Wang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Round 11: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Liam Holden (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
85:15
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Kyle Yoder (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
85:15
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
Round 16: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
94% (15/16 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (10.0 expected, 13 actual)
Surprise
6.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R14 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R16 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
48th • 8-5-0
77%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
6.4
Surp
3.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Neet (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Tavres (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs John Cooper (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs MOISES LOPEZ (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Juan Chacon (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Liam Holden (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Brandon Abarca (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Andrew Mendelsohn (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Daniel Johnson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jeff Stamm (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
77% (10/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
61st • 8-5-0
77%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
5.6
Surp
3.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Randall Sims (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Max Dieckmann (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs jordan johnson (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Taylor Stuhr (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Justin Bathgate (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Simon Miller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Timothy Scroggs (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Matt Kohls (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Arthur Mills (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jeff Stamm (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
Round 12: Win vs Man Hiem Cheung (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Dave Cordeiro (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
77% (10/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.3
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Vance Jones (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 77:23
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nathan Crawford (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ian Smith (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Noah Clark (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
Round 5: Win vs Grant Strom (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Shawn Adams (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Aria How (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Logan Petersen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Maldonado (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aria How (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Blake Meier (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Johnny Wedzicha (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tanis Curran (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Derek Chiu (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Max Dieckmann (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Roger Bodee (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Griesser (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Biggs (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jake Warburton (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Scott Mackenzie (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jesus Montijo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25
15:85
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nathan Nichols (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Douglas Shima (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Avery Hill (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Tagg (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Oliver Phi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
85:15
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Edward Knight (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tyler Brotton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Juan Chacon (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lawrence Collins (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Tyler (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 51:49
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Todd Kotow (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eric Lerer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
85:15
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kevin Tran (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
85:15
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Simon Miller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (5.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.2
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joey Boily (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 72:28
Round 2: Loss vs Chuck Hutchins (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luca Garcia (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thor Hoffman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ethan Strickland-Robbins (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
Round 6: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Diana Green (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 77:23
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tyler Horspool (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (5.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Showstopper | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jeremiah Gardner (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Samuel Anthony (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Jackson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew W (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Frank Boothroyd (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Christopher Shreve (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Greg Sutcliffe (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Davila (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 77:23
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Simon Miller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Max Botham (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Loss vs Kyle McKeough (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Eric Lee (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs SEAN STELL (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (4.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bryan De La Torre (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Koppean (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Vince Rothman (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Loss vs John Tucker (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Todd Kotow (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jackson Klingbeil (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Taylor Morrow (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Koosha Jahani (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
4.5
Surp
2.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Antony Benedetti (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Antonio Otero (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alan Valdez (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Burger (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alex Tyler (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Sjohn Chambers (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jack Lockwood (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Justin Oursler (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bennett Robinson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aaron Donaldson (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 77:23
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Oh Oh (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Stidger (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
Round 6: Win vs Jonathan Oshiro (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ynez Nevarez (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Connar Bodoh (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dawson Gilbert (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Drew Jacobsen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Shreve (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andre Ryan See (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dalton Gomez (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Eric Holmes (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ed Bracamontes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
88%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Ricca (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dennis Yip (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nick Yaksich (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dietrich Goodwin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nik Katebian (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
Round 7: Win vs Jonathan Oshiro (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Thaminda Edirisooriya (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eric Wilson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
Round 3: Win vs Jesus Cuevas (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kaiser Tan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yifei Wang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Oliver Phi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs peng seng (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs John Paul Kilcrease (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
100:0
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Albarado (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 100:0
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dylan Sieren (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Gaston Zagursky (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Scott Mackenzie (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 100% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jason Chua (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dave Cordeiro (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sean Bergmann (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 77:23
Round 4: Win vs Travis Wagner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Mound (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Richard Truong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ben Rojas (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jason Dhami (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matt MacLeod (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eugene Galipchak (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs Edward Knight (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs David Hamilton (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Oshiro (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bruno Carvalho (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Lenshyn (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kyle Foiles (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Natalie Hunt (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
Round 6: Loss vs Isaac Brooks (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alec Myers (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tommy Garnett (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ed Bracamontes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alek Idol (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rhea Adams (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeffrey Tracy (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aaron Albright (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alex Knott (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jon Cardenas (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eric Towne (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Douglas Shima (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jorge Ecute (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Manuel Curiel (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs roque flores (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kent Summerour (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dexter Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zoey Gerstner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Drew Jacobsen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alex Tyler (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Carlo Cuenca (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Raheel Khalid (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Korner (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luca Garcia (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eric Holmes (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Baker (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Evan Silverman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nathan Nichols (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Miranda (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Carlos Samaniego (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Blake Meier (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
Round 2: Win vs AUSTIN BRILL (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 3: Loss vs Logan Petersen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Korner (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Timothy Scroggs (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Travis Woodward (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dave Cordeiro (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Avery Hill (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zachary Wallach (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jayson Jacks (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Trenton McBride (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joe Bartolick (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
Round 3: Loss vs Chase Musselman (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ernesto Rodriguez (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Derek Cockrell (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.