Dorinthea Ironsong at Calling: Los Angeles
Dorinthea Ironsong
29 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
9th • 10-3-0
62%
Meta
+3.2
Perf
6.1
Surp
4.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sylvain Poirree (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Round 2: Win vs Jorge Ecute (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kaiser Tan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Scott Mackenzie (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Koosha Jahani (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andrew Mendelsohn (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Oh Oh (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Sebastian Anaya (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Derek Chiu (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Bryce Platz (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jeremy Chen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Majin Bae (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Kyle Yoder (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
12th • 10-3-0
62%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
5.8
Surp
4.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs CLARK Moore (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew W (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yazan Masad (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
Round 6: Win vs Colin Marshall (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Liam Holden (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Chris Martin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
90:10
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Clay DeAngelis (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 88:12
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Miles Slack (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Wesley Dong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Round 12: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Levi Rauch (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (7.4 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 90% | Win |
| R10 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
20th • 9-4-0
62%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
6.3
Surp
4.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Axel Sisbarro (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Tagg (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Josef Mendez (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ian Smith (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
Round 6: Win vs Nathan Crawford (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Chris Martin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Daniel Flavin (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Zach Bunn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Daniel Brouillet (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Matthew W (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Kyle Yoder (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
21st • 9-4-0
23%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
6.2
Surp
4.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shawn Reed (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Isaiah Malana (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
Round 3: Win vs Kyle Schalich (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
Round 6: Win vs Andre Ryan See (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Aaron Blum (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
Round 8: Win vs Nathan Crawford (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Hatta Rin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Dave Lin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Lucas Ng (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
23% (3/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
28th • 9-4-0
46%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
6.5
Surp
4.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs David Ballesteros (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kent Summerour (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Taylor Morrow (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dave Lin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lucas Ng (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Round 7: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 8: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Michael Lau (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Derek Chiu (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Sebastian Anaya (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Noah Clark (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R9 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
51st • 8-5-0
46%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
6.8
Surp
4.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Patrick Jones (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Randy May (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Lau (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ryan Brown (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
Round 8: Win vs Jorge Ecute (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Andrew Mendelsohn (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jeff Stamm (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29
Round 11: Loss vs Levi Rauch (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Philippe Thai (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Richard Yanke (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
55th • 8-5-0
38%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
5.6
Surp
2.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anthony Galleran (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeremiah Oldes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marco Marcelli (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Peter Beck (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dalton Gomez (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Daniel Brouillet (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Garrett Shustarich (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Bryan Hefner (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Rhea Adams (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
70:30
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Bryce Platz (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29
Meta Fit
38% (5/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R13 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
68th • 6-7-0
31%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
6.8
Surp
2.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Joe DeCaussin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Thorington (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eugene Galipchak (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Win vs Franche Tan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Jake Warburton (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Round 7: Loss vs Bennett Robinson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Brian Lorenz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Daniel Brouillet (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Andrew Griesser (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Taylor Stuhr (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Tiger Mckenzie (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
31% (4/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (6.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
6.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Bader (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zachary Wallach (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kyle Yoder (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Benton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Derek Cockrell (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Cas Mulder (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs peng seng (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Mark Boothroyd (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Luca Garcia (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Valerio Guercio (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kamil Rejman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Liam Holden (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jonathan Fouk (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jacob Tavres (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Aidan Kwasneski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Neil Bautista (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eugene Galipchak (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mike Morelli (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 4: Win vs JP Coleman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Adrian Gebhart (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sabastian Boyle-Mejia (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs John Tucker (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-1
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jeff Okrasinski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shawn Adams (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Will Rea (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Reynold Lam (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Anastasia Benner (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Danton Lima (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
Round 7: Loss vs Max Botham (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs David Trinh (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Draw |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Natalie Hunt (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Win vs Norah Porter (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chase Musselman (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs David Joachim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Travis Watkins (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Catherine Powell (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jared Wyce (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rob Catton (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kayden Dschaak (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Phillip martinez (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nova Chan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mike Williams (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ryan Biggs (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Bryan De La Torre (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Manuel Curiel (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rob Linn (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Loss vs Long Dao (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bruno Carvalho (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Wyatt Schmitt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Round 6: Loss vs Alek Idol (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alex Malave (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Hemmert (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Johnson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hongkai Guo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Francisco Leiva Espanhol (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Lorenz (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mark Boothroyd (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Scott Weaville (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mikko Pena (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 54:46
Round 2: Loss vs Samed Demir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Rothhaar (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tim Chambers (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hongkai Guo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Diana Green (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Chenjun Liu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Steven Nemeth (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Mendelsohn (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Loss vs Sylvain Poirree (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Valerio Guercio (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ynez Nevarez (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ovas Siddiqui (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Bird (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jesus Montijo (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Luis Robles (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Travis Wagner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andy Portillo (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Loss vs Brishen Jaimes (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
90:10
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs francisco guerrero (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 88:12
Round 5: Loss vs Anthony DT Zichella (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Thorington (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 90% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
67%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Dave Lin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Elliot Sloane (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jeffrey Tracy (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Blake Alvey (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Vince Rothman (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ben Rojas (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Loss vs Timothy Scroggs (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Rafael Salsa (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Bathgate (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Cory Schmitt (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Trenton McBride (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
Round 5: Loss vs Jared Wyce (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Rafael Salsa (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Walker (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29
Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Cicchinelli (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Dalton Cameron (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Troy Wilson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Bird (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Connar Bodoh (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nitan Avivi-Stuhl (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Tagg (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs MOISES LOPEZ (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Felipe Costa Batista (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Griesser (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bryan Hefner (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Anaya (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brandon Lenshyn (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 54:46
Round 3: Loss vs Alek Idol (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Higashi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Dailey (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Win vs Justice Yang (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs noah zubeidi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs yuta maruo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew W (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luca Garcia (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Jones (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.