FaB-Results

Dash I/O at Battle Hardened: Lucerne 2025

Dash I/O

Dash I/O

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Lars Seebacher
5th • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Patrik Koller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Xavier Mudry (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 66:34
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Diego Giacca (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sander Neeft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Enes Findik (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Gut (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Etienne BARIOULET (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
Florian Badertscher
12th • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.1
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Diego Giacca (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ivan Bötschi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs sylvain verdet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christian Hammer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 66:34
Prism, Awakener of Sol
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Patrick Urfer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
Jarl Vetreiði
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kevin Steiger (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jonas Schütze (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
David Rotter
15th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.8
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Friedemann Schorpp (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chang Li (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 25:75
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Laura Sterkenburg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Konrad Weiss (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marco von Holzen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joachim Hendriksen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Johannes Schorpp (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 66:34
Urs Riedweg
43rd • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Enes Findik (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thibault Taccone (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Oliver Gehrig (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs William Rao (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 69:31
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Laura Sterkenburg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lian Mintz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 82:18
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Damien CHINIARD (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
Andrea Migliavacca
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Manuel Wachouschek (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Julius Otte (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs William Rao (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 69:31
Dorinthea Ironsong
!
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sandro Hugger (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Friedemann Schorpp (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44
Prism, Awakener of Sol
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Patrick Urfer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 58:42
Gabriel Meier
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Maxence Cornut (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aaron Heimbeck (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Markus Heimbeck (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marco von Holzen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.