FaB-Results

Jarl Vetreiði at Battle Hardened: Lucerne 2025

Jarl Vetreiði

Jarl Vetreiði

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Kevin Steiger
10th • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.3
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Samuel Mudry (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomas G Jud (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Manuel Wachouschek (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lancelot Errico (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Dash I/O
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Florian Badertscher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
Emile Simon
23rd • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Elija Ibig (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs gabriele paletti (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Etienne BARIOULET (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 22:78
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Thierry Bonard (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Marcel Eggimann (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Patrik Koller (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 21:79

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.