Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty at Battle Hardened

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Chang Li

5th • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.0

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Julius Otte (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 80:20

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs David Rotter (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lancelot Errico (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 66:34

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ludovic Zgajner (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 80:20

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Viet Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Lisa-Marie Schulte (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

15:85

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Etienne BARIOULET (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 12:88

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Enes Findik (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.04
R2	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.10
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.22
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.16
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Win	✗	0.75	1.50
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Elija Ibig

48th • 2-5-0

71%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Emile Simon (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs STEPHANE LE ROY (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ivan Bötschi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 23:77

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Fabian Gerber (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs William Rao (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 64:36

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Thibault Taccone (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 23:77

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Marc Scheerer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	80%	Loss	✓	0.80	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R4	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.46
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.66	-

Nico Grieco

dropped • 1-2-1

50%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.1

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andrea Colombo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 80:20

15:85

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Etienne BARIOULET (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 12:88

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kai Martin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Lorenzo Paino (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 23:77

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.08
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Draw	✗	0.23	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.