Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty at Battle Hardened

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Chang Li

5th • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.6

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Julius Otte (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs David Rotter (Dash I/O) - Expected: 78:22

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lancelot Errico (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ludovic Zgajner (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Viet Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Lisa-Marie Schulte (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

20:80

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Etienne BARIOULET (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 18:82

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Enes Findik (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.08
R2	CC	Dash I/O	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.09
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.26
R4	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.31
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.85
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Elija Ibig

48th • 2-5-0

71%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

3.2

Surp

0.6

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Emile Simon (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs STEPHANE LE ROY (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ivan Bötschi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Fabian Gerber (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 60:40

80:20

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs William Rao (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 82:18

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Thibault Taccone (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Marc Scheerer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.43
R5	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.21
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Nico Grieco

dropped • 1-2-1

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.2

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andrea Colombo (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 65:35

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Etienne BARIOULET (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 18:82

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kai Martin (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Lorenzo Paino (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.15
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Draw	✗	0.34	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.