FaB-Results

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter at Battle Hardened: Lucerne 2025

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Aaron Heimbeck
44th • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.0
Diff
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ludovic Zgajner (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
Dash I/O
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gabriel Meier (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan Tolno (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Damien CHINIARD (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ernst Füllemann (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Bravo, Showstopper
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Stefan Bonk (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Julia Brown (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Fabian Gerber
dropped • 0-4-0
0%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marco Lauria (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 46:54
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Wülser (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kim Scheerer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Elija Ibig (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.