FaB-Results

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous at Battle Hardened: Lucerne 2025

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Andrea Santoro
34th • 3-4-0
0%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
3.0
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
!!
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nico Schleier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 22:78
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Fabian Brust (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!!
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Laura Sterkenburg (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!!
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nolan Varone (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
15:85
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Markus Heimbeck (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 17:83
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Angus Sünner (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 46:54
Lian Mintz
dropped • 2-4-0
17%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!!
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kim Scheerer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marcel Eggimann (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!!
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patrick Paitz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joachim Hendriksen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 22:78
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs sylvain verdet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Dash I/O
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Urs Riedweg (Dash I/O) - Expected: 18:82

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.